KLA Corporation · KLAC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

KLA: AI and packaging demand meet supply and China risks

KLA's earnings analysis supports a constructive demand case: AI infrastructure, advanced packaging and HBM are driving process-control intensity and share gains. The case is tempered by supply bottlenecks, DRAM cost inflation and China-related restrictions.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $247.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.89 Consensus $0.88
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.30B Consensus $3.25B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -15.2% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -14.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.5% Up to 20 sessions
KLACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis places greater emphasis on first-half supply constraints and DRAM cost pressure as near-term execution risks, while AI-enabled analytics, advanced packaging and HBM remain the central growth drivers.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained maintained. The analysis points to mid-single-digit 2026 revenue growth and gross margin around 62%, with DRAM costs a headwind.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 revenue grew 17% to a record $12.745 billion with 29% EPS growth and strong cash generation.
  • AI infrastructure, advanced packaging and HBM are the main growth drivers in the analysis.
  • Management expects mid-single-digit 2026 revenue growth and gross margin around 62%.
  • Supply constraints, DRAM pricing and China restrictions are the key near-term challenges.

Management priorities

  • Launch AI-enabled inspection and metrology platforms.
  • Expand advanced-packaging, electron-beam and reticle-inspection products.
  • Invest in service capabilities to sustain 12–14% service revenue growth.
  • Maintain dividends and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KLAC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q3 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2764.3%
Neutral1330.9%
Bearish24.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$189.17Previous close
$26.5Low
$143.83Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $189.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$175.45 +5.7%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$179.02 -4.8%Jul 29, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$215$190.8 +13.7%Jul 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$250$190.8 +32.2%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$245$190.8 +29.5%Jul 29, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries. The company organizes its business into four main segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, PCB, Display and Component Inspection, and an 'Other' category. For integrated circuit (IC) fabrication, KLA offers a comprehensive range of products. These include systems for wafer inspection, review, and metrology; defect inspection and metrology for both wafers/substrates and reticles; chemical and materials quality analysis tools; and real-time process management and wafer handling diagnostics essential for IC and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) production. Furthermore, the company develops software for live process control, defect excursion identification, process corrections, and defect classification. KLA also supplies refurbished and remanufactured equipment.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T07:41:00.543009+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T07:41:00.540137+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.