Kimco Realty Corporation · KIM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Kimco pairs steady 2026 guidance with capital recycling and leasing strength

The supplied analysis supports a measured version of the operating thesis: leasing demand, limited new open-air retail supply and capital recycling support continued growth, while modest guidance and execution, credit and financing risks limit the strength of the case.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $14.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.44 Consensus $0.19
EPS surprise +135.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $538.1M Consensus $537.2M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
KIMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes 2025 operating strength, maintained 2026 guidance, a larger capital-recycling focus, planned structured-investment growth and continued organizational and digital transformation.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2026 guidance calls for 2.3%-4.5% FFO growth and 2.5%-3.5% same-site NOI growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2025 as a year of 6.7% FFO growth, 96.4% occupancy and record leasing volume.
  • The company plans to recycle capital through asset sales and redeploy proceeds into higher-return assets, structured investments and selective buybacks.
  • Digital transformation and a functional operating model are intended to improve efficiency and execution.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate capital recycling and redeploy proceeds from dispositions.
  • Expand the structured investment book while pursuing multifamily development opportunities.
  • Continue organizational simplification and digital initiatives, including AI and automation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KIM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.38 Q1 '24 actual $0.39, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.40 Q2 '24 actual $0.41, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.41 Q3 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.17 Q2 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.18 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.19 Q4 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.19 Q1 '26 actual $0.23, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.20 Q2 '26 actual $0.22, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.20 Q4 '26 estimate $0.20 Q1 '27 estimate $0.22
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold36 ratings
Bullish1438.9%
Neutral2261.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$22.21Previous close
$20Low
$24.68Average
$29High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 24, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $22.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$23$22.22 +3.6%Sep 24, 2026
Goldman SachsCaitlin Burrows$28$23.95 +26.1%Aug 11, 2026
Wells FargoJamie Feldman$26$26.13 +17.1%Jul 23, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$29$24.97 +30.6%Jul 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$29$25.76 +30.6%Jun 29, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Kimco Realty Corporation (NYSE:KIM), headquartered in Jericho, N.Y., operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). It stands as one of North America's preeminent publicly traded entities dedicated to the ownership and operation of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and diverse mixed-use developments. With a substantial portfolio reported as of September 30, 2020, Kimco held interests in 400 properties across the U.S. These holdings collectively encompass 70 million square feet of gross leasable area, predominantly situated within America's top metropolitan markets. Having traded publicly on the New York Stock Exchange since 1991 and recognized as a constituent of the S&P 500 Index, the company boasts over six decades of expertise. This extensive experience spans the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of shopping centers.

Historical context

All KIM earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T09:16:05.450626+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T09:16:05.447690+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.