Kimco Realty Corporation · KIM · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024
Kimco raises FFO outlook as occupancy reaches a record high
Kimco's current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: high occupancy, strong leasing demand, limited new supply, and raised FFO guidance provide evidence of resilient fundamentals. The thesis remains conditional on disciplined capital allocation, manageable credit losses, financing costs, and execution on acquisitions, entitlements, and structured-investment conversions.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis shows record 96.4% occupancy, a higher full-year FFO range of $1.64-$1.65 per share, progress on 12,000 multifamily entitlements, and the Waterford Lakes acquisition. Compared with the prior quarter, management emphasized additional progress in the structured-investment program and lowered disposition guidance by $50 million.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year FFO guidance to $1.64-$1.65 per share in the current analysis, versus $1.60-$1.62 per diluted share in the prior-quarter analysis; investment-capital guidance was also raised, while disposition guidance was lowered by $50 million.
Key takeaways
- Overall occupancy reached an all-time high of 96.4%, while rent spreads remained in double-digit territory.
- Management raised full-year FFO guidance and highlighted strong leasing demand in grocery, health-wellness, and fitness categories.
- Waterford Lakes, multifamily entitlements, and the structured-investment program are the main strategic growth avenues.
- The balance sheet remained a focus, with net debt/EBITDA around 5.3x and a new A- rating from Fitch.
Management priorities
- Continue acquiring owned, large-format retail assets.
- Advance structured investments toward potential fee-simple ownership.
- Monetize or develop the 12,000 entitled multifamily units.
- Deploy cash from bond repayment while preserving balance-sheet flexibility.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | May 19, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2025 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Compass Point | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 10, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 7, 2024 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 29, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 7, 2022 |
| Capital One | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Aug 2, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 15, 2020 |
| Capital One Financial | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Oct 23, 2019 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 22, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 11, 2019 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| BMO Capital | Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 12, 2017 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 25, 2016 |
| Boenning & Scattergood | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 28, 2016 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 5, 2015 |
| McNicoll Lewis Vlak | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 18, 2013 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Oct 31, 2013 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 10, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 31, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $22.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $22.16 | +17.9% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $22.14 | +4.8% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $22.21 | +4.8% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $22.22 | +0.4% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Caitlin Burrows | $28 | $23.95 | +22.2% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jamie Feldman | $26 | $26.13 | +13.5% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $29 | $24.97 | +26.6% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $25.76 | +26.6% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $24.38 | +22.2% | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $25.64 | +22.2% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $25 | $24.25 | +9.1% | May 28, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $23.37 | +9.1% | May 19, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $23.47 | +22.2% | May 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $23.54 | +9.1% | May 1, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $22.64 | +9.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $22.64 | +4.8% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $25.75 | $22.76 | +12.4% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $25 | $20.4 | +9.1% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $20.62 | -8.3% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $20.31 | +13.5% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $23.5 | $20.08 | +2.6% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Cooper Clark | $21 | $20.16 | -8.3% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $26 | $20.4 | +13.5% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $27 | $21.47 | +17.9% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $23 | $22.4 | +0.4% | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $28 | $20.72 | +22.2% | May 5, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Dori Kesten | $23 | $21.21 | +0.4% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Compass Point | Floris van Dijkum | $28 | $23.29 | +22.2% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Michael Bilerman | $24 | $23.35 | +4.8% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $22 | $23.16 | -4.0% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Dori Kesten | $24 | $23.16 | +4.8% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Greg McGinnis | $23 | $23.33 | +0.4% | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | $25 | $22.27 | +9.1% | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Omotayo Okusanya | $20 | $18.57 | -12.7% | May 24, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $22 | $18.91 | -4.0% | May 21, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Wesley Golladay | $21 | $18.76 | -8.3% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $21.49 | +4.8% | Aug 29, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $23.81 | +9.1% | Aug 16, 2022 |
| Barclays | Anthony Powell | $26 | $21.24 | +13.5% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $21.49 | +4.8% | Jul 25, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $21.41 | +0.4% | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $20 | -4.0% | Jul 15, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $19.77 | +0.4% | Jun 30, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Tayo Okusanya | $22 | $19.02 | -4.0% | Jun 22, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $23.04 | +9.1% | May 13, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $25.52 | +30.9% | May 2, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $27 | $22.78 | +17.9% | Dec 10, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Michael Bilerman | $28 | $22.78 | +22.2% | Dec 2, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $27 | $23.77 | +17.9% | Nov 22, 2021 |
| Barclays | Anthony Powell | $29 | $23.47 | +26.6% | Nov 17, 2021 |
| Capital One Financial | Chris Lucas | $26 | $20.8 | +13.5% | Aug 2, 2021 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $25 | $21.5 | +9.1% | Jun 3, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Tammi Fique | $22.5 | $20.33 | -1.8% | May 27, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationKimco Realty Corporation (NYSE:KIM), headquartered in Jericho, N.Y., operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). It stands as one of North America's preeminent publicly traded entities dedicated to the ownership and operation of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and diverse mixed-use developments. With a substantial portfolio reported as of September 30, 2020, Kimco held interests in 400 properties across the U.S. These holdings collectively encompass 70 million square feet of gross leasable area, predominantly situated within America's top metropolitan markets. Having traded publicly on the New York Stock Exchange since 1991 and recognized as a constituent of the S&P 500 Index, the company boasts over six decades of expertise. This extensive experience spans the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of shopping centers.
Historical context
All KIM earningsReal Estate peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +105.9% | -2.7% | Prologis raises guidance as logistics and data-center demand stays strong |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T12:30:43.941511+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T12:30:43.938801+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.