Kinross Gold Corporation · KGC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Kinross maintains guidance as projects and cash flow advance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: Kinross is maintaining full-year guidance while advancing high-grade projects and using cash flow for growth and shareholder returns. The main counterweights are inflation, permitting, capital-cost and oil-price risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $23.88B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.71 Consensus $0.66
EPS surprise +7.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.21B Consensus $2.24B
Revenue surprise -1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +37.6% Up to 20 sessions
KGCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis keeps guidance sentiment maintained but describes increasing capital spending and adds project-specific developments. Lobo-Marte economics were updated, Great Bear engineering advanced, and Kinross announced an incoming COO.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis says the company remains on track for full-year production, cost and capital guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance exceeded expectations with strong cash flow and operating margins.
  • Lobo-Marte and Great Bear advanced with permitting and engineering milestones.
  • Productivity and cost-management initiatives are intended to offset inflationary pressure.
  • Capital returns remain a stated priority alongside growth investment.

Management priorities

  • Advance Lobo-Marte permitting and development.
  • Continue Great Bear engineering, capital budgeting and permitting work.
  • Ramp Phase X and progress Curlew development.
  • Maintain exploration, operational efficiency and capital allocation programs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KGC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.09 Q4 '23 actual $0.11, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.06 Q1 '24 actual $0.10, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.14 Q2 '24 actual $0.14, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.19 Q3 '24 actual $0.24, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.33 Q2 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.39 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.67, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.68 Q1 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.66 Q2 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.46 Q3 '26 actual $0.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.53 Q1 '27 estimate $0.70 Q2 '27 estimate $0.72 Q3 '27 estimate $0.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish1657.2%
Neutral932.1%
Bearish310.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.13Current
$7.5Low
$25.74Average
$50High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 25, 2026
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 9, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $20.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCAnita Soni$34$24.34 +68.9%Oct 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$28$23.18 +39.1%Oct 8, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$50$24.86 +148.4%Sep 25, 2026
ScotiabankTanya Jakusconek$39$24.27 +93.7%Sep 24, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$41$23.94 +103.7%Jul 14, 2026
See 29 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Kinross Gold Corporation, along with its various affiliates, is dedicated to acquiring, exploring, and developing gold deposits primarily across regions such as the United States, Russia, Brazil, Chile, Ghana, and Mauritania. Beyond these core operations, the company also handles the mining and processing of gold-bearing ores, conducts rehabilitation of former gold mining sites, and produces and sells silver. Kinross Gold Corporation was established in 1993 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All KGC earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T19:07:26.114284+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T13:00:38.833737+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T13:00:38.830742+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.