Johnson & Johnson · JNJ · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Raised outlook meets pipeline momentum, with erosion risks still in view

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: diversified demand, pipeline progress, and medtech expansion can support continued growth, while product erosion, cost pressures, and execution risks test its durability.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $622.84B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.77 Consensus $2.68
EPS surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $23.74B Consensus $22.85B
Revenue surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.2% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +5.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.9% Up to 20 sessions
JNJSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis moves the story from broad portfolio resilience toward a more execution-dependent outlook: raised guidance and new growth initiatives are offset by continuing STELARA pressure, cost exposure, and the burden of recent acquisitions.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook, but the durability of that improvement remains a key investor question as product-loss and cost pressures continue.

Key takeaways

  • Management described diversified growth across oncology, immunology, and cardiovascular medtech.
  • The pipeline and recent acquisitions add potential growth drivers, but execution remains important.
  • STELARA erosion, Part D effects, tariffs, and acquisition-related debt temper the constructive outlook.

Management priorities

  • Advance oncology and immunology launches and indications.
  • Commercialize cardiovascular medtech platforms and the OTTAVA surgical system.
  • Continue regulatory submissions and pipeline development across medicine and medtech.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JNJ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.71 Q2 '24 actual $2.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.21 Q3 '24 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.76 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.46 Q4 '25 actual $2.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.68 Q1 '26 actual $2.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.84 Q2 '26 actual $2.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.67 Q4 '26 estimate $2.98 Q1 '27 estimate $2.85 Q2 '27 estimate $2.96
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1640.0%
Bearish37.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$258.45Current
$90Low
$227.38Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 29, 2026
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $258.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$290$252.93 +12.2%Oct 6, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$278$271.95 +7.6%Sep 29, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$320$267.08 +23.8%Sep 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$320$271.19 +23.8%Sep 2, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$287$257.59 +11.0%Aug 6, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of products in the healthcare field. It operates through the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. The Innovative Medicine segment focuses on immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism, and pulmonary hypertension. The MedTech segment includes a portfolio of products used in interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision categories. The company was founded by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. in 1887 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, NJ.

Historical context

All JNJ earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T05:10:43.114781+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T05:10:43.111930+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.