Johnson & Johnson · JNJ · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

J&J Raises Sales Outlook as Pipeline Offsets STELARA Pressure

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: diversified growth, pipeline progress, acquisitions, and higher guidance provide offsets to STELARA erosion, tariffs, and execution risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $610.38B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.59
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $21.65B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.7% Up to 20 sessions
JNJSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported 4.2% Q1 operational sales growth, raised full-year operational sales guidance, completed the IntraCellular Therapies acquisition, and announced a $55 billion U.S. investment plan. The main change in the risk picture is continued pressure from STELARA erosion alongside tariff and Part D exposure.

Guidance delta

Full-year operational sales guidance was raised; margin improvement targets remain on track.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 operational sales grew 4.2% despite a 32% decline in STELARA.
  • Pipeline progress included expanded indications for DARZALEX and Tremfya and progress for riboflavin-based regimens.
  • The completed IntraCellular Therapies acquisition adds Caplyta, while management announced a $55 billion U.S. investment plan.

Management priorities

  • Advance pipeline approvals and expanded indications, including Caplyta, Tremfya, and riboflavin-based regimens.
  • Commercialize new MedTech products and integrate acquired platforms.
  • Build U.S. manufacturing and R&D capacity under the investment plan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JNJ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.27 Q4 '23 actual $2.29, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.71 Q2 '24 actual $2.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.21 Q3 '24 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.76 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.46 Q4 '25 actual $2.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.68 Q1 '26 actual $2.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.84 Q2 '26 actual $2.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.52 Q3 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.92 Q1 '27 estimate $2.74
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1640.0%
Bearish37.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$253.28Previous close
$90Low
$230.49Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $253.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinLee Hambright$270$259.85 +6.6%Oct 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$280$251.68 +10.5%Oct 14, 2026
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$272$251.75 +7.4%Oct 14, 2026
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$275$248.61 +8.6%Oct 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$248.61 +6.6%Oct 14, 2026
See 101 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of products in the healthcare field. It operates through the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. The Innovative Medicine segment focuses on immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism, and pulmonary hypertension. The MedTech segment includes a portfolio of products used in interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision categories. The company was founded by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. in 1887 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, NJ.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-01T00:02:13.289232+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T09:50:44.652472+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T09:50:44.649753+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.