Johnson Controls International plc · JCI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

JCI: Orders and backlog strengthened, EPS guidance raised

The quarter strengthened the growth case: order momentum, a record backlog, margin expansion, and higher EPS guidance support the outlook, while conversion and execution remain unproven risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $90.51B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.89 Consensus $0.84
EPS surprise +5.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.80B Consensus $5.64B
Revenue surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.9% Up to 20 sessions
JCISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Orders rose about 40%, backlog reached $18 billion, and management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $4.70. Margin expanded to 12.4%.

Guidance delta

Raised: full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $4.70, described in the analysis as roughly a 25% increase.

Key takeaways

  • Orders rose about 40% and backlog reached a record $18 billion, improving visibility.
  • Revenue grew 6%, while EBIT margin expanded to 12.4% on productivity and pricing.
  • Data-center and life-science demand, plus new cooling products, were central growth themes.

Management priorities

  • Continue rolling out the proprietary business system across regions.
  • Scale APAC operations and develop chiller, CDU, and digital-service products.
  • Accelerate R&D and complete the strategic portfolio review.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JCI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $7B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7B Q2 '24 actual $7B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $7B Q4 '24 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $7B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish2863.6%
Neutral1636.4%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$149.42Previous close
$65Low
$115.09Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 2, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $149.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$186$145.36 +24.5%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$138.46 +20.5%Sep 2, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$190$152.36 +27.2%Aug 14, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$175$154.55 +17.1%Aug 7, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$176$147.75 +17.8%Jun 9, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection and suppression systems, and digital solutions. It also provides energy solutions and technical services, including inspection, scheduled maintenance, and repair and replacement of mechanical and control systems, as well as data-driven building solutions. It sells its products and services to commercial, residential security, institutional, industrial, data center, marine, and governmental customers. Johnson Controls International plc was incorporated in 1885 and is based in Cork, Ireland.

Historical context

All JCI earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T06:26:10.387129+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T06:26:10.384116+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.