J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. · JBHT · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

J.B. Hunt: Record Intermodal Volume, but Margin Repair Takes Time

The quarter supports a mixed view: record intermodal volume, customer retention, and technology and safety investment provide demand and execution support, but lower yields, inflation, and a cautious margin outlook weaken the case for near-term earnings acceleration.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $21.99B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.19
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.92B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.5% Up to 20 sessions
JBHTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's tone was more cautious and guidance sentiment was lowered. The emphasis shifted toward cost reduction and margin repair: capex guidance was reduced to $500 million-$700 million, while tariff uncertainty, excess capacity, and the timing of pricing improvements remained central concerns.

Guidance delta

Management lowered 2025 capex guidance to $500 million-$700 million, a $200 million reduction, while emphasizing that margin repair will take multiple quarters.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue declined 1% year over year, operating income fell 8%, and EPS decreased 4%, reflecting lower yields and inflationary costs.
  • Intermodal volumes reached a record, with 8% year-over-year growth, while the Dedicated segment sold about 260 trucks against an 800-truck annual target.
  • Management highlighted $200 million of headcount reductions, a $234 million stock repurchase, and lower capex as cost-discipline measures.
  • Management remains focused on pricing, network balance, safety, and technology while navigating tariff and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Repair margins through price improvements and disciplined underwriting
  • Reduce empty moves and improve network balance
  • Invest selectively in technology, capacity, and safety
  • Maintain a flexible cost structure
  • Support intermodal and dedicated growth

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JBHT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.75 Q4 '23 actual $1.47, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1.52 Q1 '24 actual $1.22, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.52 Q2 '24 actual $1.32, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.42 Q3 '24 actual $1.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.30 Q2 '25 actual $1.31, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.46 Q3 '25 actual $1.76, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.81 Q4 '25 actual $1.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '26 actual $1.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.74 Q2 '26 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.95 Q4 '26 estimate $2.17 Q1 '27 estimate $1.93 Q2 '27 estimate $2.40
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish2659.1%
Neutral1738.6%
Bearish12.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$234.2Previous close
$140Low
$231.73Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 2, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 17, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $234.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$305$230.58 +30.2%Oct 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$264$239.9 +12.7%Sep 17, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$300$240.47 +28.1%Sep 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$285$273.05 +21.7%Sep 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$291$293.83 +24.3%Jul 16, 2026
See 118 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across North America, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. specializes in ground transportation, last-mile delivery, and comprehensive logistics solutions. Its operations are structured into five distinct divisions: Intermodal (JBI), Dedicated Contract Services (DCS), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS), Final Mile Services (FMS), and Truckload (JBT). The Intermodal (JBI) division facilitates freight movement using multiple transport modes. This segment boasts a substantial asset base, including 104,973 company-owned trailers, a self-maintained fleet of 85,649 chassis, 5,612 company-owned tractors, 582 independent contractor vehicles, and a workforce of 6,943 company drivers. Dedicated Contract Services (DCS) focuses on engineering, implementing, and managing bespoke supply chain strategies for diverse transportation requirements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-01T00:02:13.289232+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T07:50:43.596394+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T07:50:43.593579+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.