J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. · JBHT · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

J.B. Hunt: Record intermodal volumes meet persistent margin pressure

The supplied analysis presents a mixed picture: resilient intermodal demand and planned capacity investment support the operating outlook, but pricing pressure, insurance inflation, excess capacity, and Dedicated fleet losses remain material constraints. The evidence supports monitoring execution and margin recovery rather than a one-directional conclusion.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $21.53B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.64
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.13B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.7% Up to 20 sessions
JBHTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shifts from improving volumes and cost control toward record intermodal activity paired with continued margin pressure. Management raised 2025 capex guidance to $700-$900 million, cited Walmart intermodal assets as a capacity investment, and emphasized pricing and cost actions; the supplied current analysis does not provide formal guidance sentiment.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided in the supplied current-quarter analysis. Capex was described as increasing, with 2025 guidance of $700-$900 million.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue fell 5% year over year while operating income edged up 2%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Intermodal volumes reached records, including a 200,000-load month in October and 5% year-over-year growth.
  • Management highlighted Walmart intermodal assets, pricing discussions, and cost control as levers for improving performance.
  • Dedicated sold about 440 new trucks, but fleet losses persisted into early 2025.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Walmart intermodal assets and bring them online
  • Control people and capacity expenses
  • Engage customers on pricing to improve margin capture
  • Scale Dedicated fleet growth and invest in technology, sales, and safety

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JBHT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.52 Q1 '24 actual $1.22, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.52 Q2 '24 actual $1.32, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.42 Q3 '24 actual $1.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.30 Q2 '25 actual $1.31, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.46 Q3 '25 actual $1.76, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.81 Q4 '25 actual $1.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '26 actual $1.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.74 Q2 '26 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.82 Q4 '26 estimate $2.08 Q1 '27 estimate $1.90 Q2 '27 estimate $2.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish2659.1%
Neutral1738.6%
Bearish12.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$229.26Current
$140Low
$232.72Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 8, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 7, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $229.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$289$222.64 +26.1%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$235$224.39 +2.5%Oct 7, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$315$223.86 +37.4%Oct 7, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$305$230.58 +33.0%Oct 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$264$239.9 +15.2%Sep 17, 2026
See 121 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across North America, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. specializes in ground transportation, last-mile delivery, and comprehensive logistics solutions. Its operations are structured into five distinct divisions: Intermodal (JBI), Dedicated Contract Services (DCS), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS), Final Mile Services (FMS), and Truckload (JBT). The Intermodal (JBI) division facilitates freight movement using multiple transport modes. This segment boasts a substantial asset base, including 104,973 company-owned trailers, a self-maintained fleet of 85,649 chassis, 5,612 company-owned tractors, 582 independent contractor vehicles, and a workforce of 6,943 company drivers. Dedicated Contract Services (DCS) focuses on engineering, implementing, and managing bespoke supply chain strategies for diverse transportation requirements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-02T00:01:59.293041+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T07:40:41.106986+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T07:40:41.104161+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.