Intuit Inc. · INTU · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Intuit raises outlook as TurboTax Live and Credit Karma accelerate

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: raised guidance, strong TurboTax Live and Credit Karma growth, and expanding AI and mid-market initiatives provide evidence for continued growth. The case remains dependent on sustaining tax conversion, merchant momentum, pricing and margin resilience, and effective AI execution.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $82.81B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $10.89
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.56B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +8.1% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +8.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
INTUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest supplied analysis shows a higher outlook, stronger TurboTax Live and Credit Karma growth, and a broader AI-agent strategy. Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the emphasis shifted from reaffirmed guidance and initial Intuit Assist adoption toward raised guidance, end-to-end agents, value-based pricing, and mid-market expansion.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance, targeting 15% total revenue growth versus prior guidance of 12%–13%.

Key takeaways

  • Management raised guidance across revenue, operating income, margin, and EPS.
  • TurboTax Live revenue grew 47% and represented roughly 40% of the consumer franchise.
  • Credit Karma revenue grew 31%, adding a point of consumer-group growth.
  • AI-driven done-for-you experiences and AI agents are central to the growth plan.
  • QuickBooks Advanced, Intuit Enterprise Suite, and accounting-firm partnerships support mid-market expansion.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-driven done-for-you experiences across the business platform.
  • Launch AI agents for customer, payments, project-management, and accounting tasks.
  • Advance QuickBooks Advanced and Intuit Enterprise Suite capabilities.
  • Use value-based and modular pricing models.
  • Strengthen accounting-firm partnerships to support mid-market adoption.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
INTU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.30 Q2 '24 actual $2.63, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9.37 Q3 '24 actual $9.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.85 Q4 '24 actual $1.99, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.66 Q4 '25 actual $2.75, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.09 Q1 '26 actual $3.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.68 Q2 '26 actual $4.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12.57 Q3 '26 actual $12.80, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.58 Q4 '26 actual $4.03, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.46 Q2 '27 estimate $3.77
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2659.1%
Neutral1329.5%
Bearish511.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$302.75Current
$276Low
$512.94Average
$880High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $302.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$385$307.56 +27.2%Sep 18, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$370$347.66 +22.2%Aug 27, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$304$345.88 +0.4%Aug 26, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$400$347.77 +32.1%Aug 26, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$300$348.85 -0.9%Aug 26, 2026
See 115 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intuit Inc. provides financial management, payments and capital, compliance, and marketing products and services in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Global Business Solutions, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProTax. The Global Business Solutions segment provides QuickBooks services, which include financial and business management online services, desktop software, payroll solutions, time tracking, merchant payment processing and bill pay solutions, checking accounts, and financing services for small and mid-market businesses; and Mailchimp, a marketing automation and customer relationship management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-08T00:02:48.254059+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T22:10:43.972952+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T22:10:43.970123+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.