ING Groep N.V. · ING · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

ING raises outlook as loans, fees and capital generation strengthen

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating picture for ING: loan and fee growth, digitalisation, and capital generation improved the outlook. The thesis remains conditional on managing margin pressure, regulatory capital demands, and credit risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $89.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.70 Consensus $0.64
EPS surprise +9.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.86B Consensus $6.28B
Revenue surprise +9.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.4% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +6.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.8% Up to 20 sessions
INGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management’s tone remained confident but the guidance direction improved from maintained to raised. The current analysis also places greater emphasis on scaled AI deployment, capital generation, and continued growth investment.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance for total income, fee income, and return on equity, according to the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Loan growth and fee income were identified as the main drivers of the strong quarter.
  • Management highlighted AI-enabled digitalisation, sustainable finance, and wholesale trade finance as ongoing growth pillars.
  • Capital generation supported a higher CET1 target and continued shareholder returns, while margin and credit risks remain relevant.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI and digital tools across lending, KYC, and contact centres.
  • Expand business banking, consumer lending, and wealth-management products.
  • Pursue selective M&A, sustainable-finance growth, and continued capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ING REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $5B, None Q2 '24 actual $6B, None Q1 '25 estimate $6B Q1 '25 actual $6B, match Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $29B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $7B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q3 '26 actual $7B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $7B Q2 '27 estimate $7B Q3 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy17 ratings
Bullish1164.7%
Neutral635.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$31.46Current
$22.5Low
$22.5Average
$22.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJul 15, 2025
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeDec 2, 2021
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 26, 2021
CFRA Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainMay 11, 2020
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeNov 2, 2018
Show 12 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $31.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Berenberg BankHugh Moorhead$22.5$17.89 -28.5%Aug 29, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

ING Groep N.V. functions as a prominent global financial services institution, offering a comprehensive suite of banking products and solutions across a vast international footprint. Its operations extend throughout the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Poland, other European countries, North America, Latin America, Asia, and Australia. The company organizes its business into six distinct segments: Retail Banking focused on the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, and other regions, in addition to its Wholesale Banking and Corporate Line Banking divisions. ING facilitates various client deposits, including checking and savings accounts, and extends credit options to both businesses and individual consumers.…

Historical context

All ING earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T09:00:44.102075+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T09:00:44.099326+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.