ING Groep N.V. · ING · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
ING raises outlook as loans, fees and capital generation strengthen
The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating picture for ING: loan and fee growth, digitalisation, and capital generation improved the outlook. The thesis remains conditional on managing margin pressure, regulatory capital demands, and credit risk.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management’s tone remained confident but the guidance direction improved from maintained to raised. The current analysis also places greater emphasis on scaled AI deployment, capital generation, and continued growth investment.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year guidance for total income, fee income, and return on equity, according to the supplied analysis.
Key takeaways
- Loan growth and fee income were identified as the main drivers of the strong quarter.
- Management highlighted AI-enabled digitalisation, sustainable finance, and wholesale trade finance as ongoing growth pillars.
- Capital generation supported a higher CET1 target and continued shareholder returns, while margin and credit risks remain relevant.
Management priorities
- Scale AI and digital tools across lending, KYC, and contact centres.
- Expand business banking, consumer lending, and wealth-management products.
- Pursue selective M&A, sustainable-finance growth, and continued capital allocation.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Jul 15, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 2, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 26, 2021 |
| CFRA | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | May 11, 2020 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Underweight | Upgrade | Nov 2, 2018 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 19, 2017 |
| Independent Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 7, 2016 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2015 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 30, 2015 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 29, 2015 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 17, 2014 |
| HSBC | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 11, 2014 |
| KBC Partners | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 11, 2013 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 18, 2013 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 4, 2013 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 19, 2013 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 18, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $31.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berenberg Bank | Hugh Moorhead | $22.5 | $17.89 | -28.5% | Aug 29, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationING Groep N.V. functions as a prominent global financial services institution, offering a comprehensive suite of banking products and solutions across a vast international footprint. Its operations extend throughout the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Poland, other European countries, North America, Latin America, Asia, and Australia. The company organizes its business into six distinct segments: Retail Banking focused on the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, and other regions, in addition to its Wholesale Banking and Corporate Line Banking divisions. ING facilitates various client deposits, including checking and savings accounts, and extends credit options to both businesses and individual consumers.…
Historical context
All ING earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +5.8% | +6.8% | Cboe posts strong Q3 as options growth and new products advance |
| NWG NatWest Group plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.0% | -9.0% | NatWest maintains guidance as Q3 growth and capital remain strong |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.1% | +5.3% | Erie pairs resilient demand initiatives with thin underwriting margins |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1189.2% | -10.6% | Coinbase offsets lower spot trading with prediction markets and AI agents |
| TPG TPG Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.3% | +7.5% | TPG raises FRE margin outlook as capital formation accelerates |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.3% | +2.9% | AJG: Q3 growth and AssuredPartners synergies support outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CHDFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+2.2% EPS+1.2% move
- AZNFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+7.3% EPS+7.0% move
- FRTFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+3.9% EPS-1.1% move
- CVXFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+8.4% EPS+1.8% move
- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T09:00:44.102075+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T09:00:44.099326+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.