ING Groep N.V. · ING · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

ING Q1 2025: strong deposits and fees, with an EPS shortfall

The supplied analysis points to continued commercial momentum from deposits, mortgages and fee-generating services, balanced by an EPS miss and sensitivity to interest-rate-driven margins. The evidence supports resilience, but does not remove execution and macroeconomic risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $89.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.53 Consensus $0.61
EPS surprise -13.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.36B Consensus $6.35B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.0% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +5.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.7% Up to 20 sessions
INGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis describes strong German deposit inflows, mortgage expansion and 10% year-over-year fee growth. ING maintained its outlook; EPS came in below consensus while revenue was marginally above it.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, according to the supplied transcript analysis; no guidance increase or reduction is identified.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis reports €23bn of core deposit inflows from a targeted German campaign and €6bn mortgage-book expansion.
  • Fee income rose 10% year over year, supported by insurance and investment product fees.
  • EPS was below consensus, while revenue was marginally above consensus; management maintained its outlook.

Management priorities

  • Continue digitisation of retail and business banking, including the European business-banking rollout.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions to address product gaps, alongside the disclosed Van Lanschot Kempen stake.
  • Expand sustainable finance and climate-target initiatives; execute the planned second-half 2025 risk-transfer trade.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ING EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.48, match Q2 '24 actual $0.58, None Q3 '24 estimate $0.30 Q3 '24 actual $0.65, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.61 Q1 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.59 Q2 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.64 Q3 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.50 Q4 '25 actual $0.56, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.75 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.79 Q3 '26 actual $0.75, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.79 Q3 '27 estimate $0.83
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy17 ratings
Bullish1164.7%
Neutral635.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$31.46Previous close
$22.5Low
$22.5Average
$22.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJul 15, 2025
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeDec 2, 2021
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 26, 2021
CFRA Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainMay 11, 2020
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeNov 2, 2018
Show 12 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $31.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Berenberg BankHugh Moorhead$22.5$17.89 -28.5%Aug 29, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

ING Groep N.V. functions as a prominent global financial services institution, offering a comprehensive suite of banking products and solutions across a vast international footprint. Its operations extend throughout the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Poland, other European countries, North America, Latin America, Asia, and Australia. The company organizes its business into six distinct segments: Retail Banking focused on the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, and other regions, in addition to its Wholesale Banking and Corporate Line Banking divisions. ING facilitates various client deposits, including checking and savings accounts, and extends credit options to both businesses and individual consumers.…

Historical context

All ING earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-02T14:06:49.430363+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T07:10:45.366384+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T07:10:45.363363+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.