Incyte Corporation · INCY · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Incyte leans on Opzelura growth and a broadening pipeline

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: established products are growing, while Niktimvo and a broad pipeline could add new sources of expansion. The thesis remains dependent on regulatory execution, clinical efficacy, competitive positioning, and Jakafi pricing resilience.

Reported Before market openNASDAQHealthcare $22.92B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.57
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.14B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
INCYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The portfolio narrative broadened beyond Jakafi and Opzelura: Niktimvo's launch was underway, additional 2025 launches and pivotal programs were planned, and management highlighted mutant CALR and KRAS G12D opportunities. Guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Management guidance was maintained; the supplied analysis highlights 2025 Opzelura guidance of $630-$670 million and Jakafi revenue guidance of $2.925-$2.975 billion.

Key takeaways

  • 2024 revenue grew 15% to $4.2 billion, led by Jakafi and Opzelura.
  • Opzelura generated $508 million in 2024, with 2025 growth expected from US atopic dermatitis, vitiligo, and Europe.
  • Niktimvo's commercial launch and additional planned launches broaden the product base.
  • Jakafi growth is shifting toward polycythemia vera, while pricing and policy remain risks.
  • The company ended 2024 with $2.2 billion in cash, no debt, and a completed $2 billion share repurchase.

Management priorities

  • Expand Opzelura in atopic dermatitis, vitiligo, pediatric atopic dermatitis, and European markets.
  • Advance Niktimvo, ruxolitinib XR, povorcitinib, and other late-stage pipeline programs.
  • Generate proof-of-concept data for mutant CALR and V617F programs.
  • Accelerate enrollment for the KRAS G12D inhibitor in pancreatic and colorectal cancers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
INCY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.84 Q1 '24 actual $0.64, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.78 Q2 '24 actual $-1.82, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.12 Q3 '24 actual $1.07, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.39 Q2 '25 actual $1.57, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.66 Q3 '25 actual $2.26, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.90 Q4 '25 actual $1.80, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.34 Q1 '26 actual $1.81, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.15 Q2 '26 actual $3.09, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-3.57 Q4 '26 estimate $2.12 Q1 '27 estimate $1.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish2352.3%
Neutral2045.4%
Bearish12.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.07Current
$48Low
$110.83Average
$200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 14, 2026
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 8, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $113.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$152$113.27 +34.4%Oct 16, 2026
Truist FinancialSrikripa Devarakonda$115$111.44 +1.7%Oct 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$114$111.78 +0.8%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAshwani Verma$127$113.03 +12.3%Oct 5, 2026
Stifel NicolausStephen Willey$157$115.3 +38.9%Oct 5, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Incyte Corporation is a biopharmaceutical firm engaged in the research, development, and global marketing of its own innovative therapies. Its current product offerings include JAKAFI, prescribed for myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that targets oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor utilized for chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Beyond its marketed drugs, Incyte's pipeline features several promising candidates. Among its clinical-stage assets are ruxolitinib, targeting steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), and itacitinib, which is undergoing Phase II/III trials for newly diagnosed chronic GVHD. Pemigatinib is also being investigated for conditions such as bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, myeloproliferative syndrome, and other tumor types.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-28T00:00:20.742579+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T21:30:42.047138+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T21:30:42.044069+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.