Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. · ICE · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

ICE: Record 2024, with energy growth and mortgage execution ahead

Management presented record 2024 results and a confident operating outlook, supported by energy, rates, data services and mortgage technology; execution and policy remain key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $88.37B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.53
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.32B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.3% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +4.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.5% Up to 20 sessions
ICESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The call highlighted record 2024 revenue, operating income and cash flow, higher Black Knight synergy targets, planned 2025 share repurchases, and new Treasury-clearing and climate-risk data products.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained: the 2025 outlook called for low-single-digit to mid-single-digit revenue growth, continued capex investment and share repurchases.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2024 as a record year for revenue, operating income and cash flow.
  • Energy markets, especially Global Energy contracts, were highlighted as major growth drivers.
  • Mortgage Technology is moving toward greater digital conversion, with new client wins expected to ramp in 2025.
  • Management highlighted expense synergies, data-center investment and new Treasury-clearing and climate-risk data products.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Black Knight, AFX and other acquired capabilities across Mortgage and Fixed-Income ecosystems.
  • Expand data-center capacity and data-services infrastructure.
  • Advance products including U.S. Treasury clearing, climate-risk data and Fixed-Income analytics.
  • Continue deleveraging while beginning share repurchases in Q1 2025.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ICE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.29 Q4 '23 actual $1.33, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.48 Q1 '24 actual $1.48, match Q2 '24 estimate $1.49 Q2 '24 actual $1.52, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.55 Q3 '24 actual $1.55, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.77 Q2 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.60 Q3 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.68 Q4 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.23 Q1 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.84 Q2 '26 actual $1.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.96 Q4 '26 estimate $1.94 Q1 '27 estimate $2.21
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish3288.9%
Neutral411.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$156.42Current
$84Low
$166.55Average
$218High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $156.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$173$155.35 +10.6%Oct 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$189$153.49 +20.8%Oct 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$159$151.47 +1.6%Oct 1, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick O\'Shaughnessy$218$160.7 +39.4%Sep 1, 2026
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$178$154.55 +13.8%Jul 31, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) manages a global network of regulated financial venues, encompassing exchanges, clearing houses, and listing platforms. These operations serve diverse markets, including commodities, financial instruments, fixed income products, and equities, with a geographical footprint spanning key financial centers such as the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, Singapore, Israel, and Canada. The company's business is segmented into three core areas: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. Within its Exchanges segment, ICE oversees a robust network comprising 13 regulated exchanges and 6 clearing houses. These extensive marketplaces enable the listing, trading, and clearing of a wide spectrum of derivatives contracts and financial securities.…

Historical context

All ICE earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T00:00:45.241459+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T00:00:45.238783+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.