Humana Inc. · HUM · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Humana raises 2025 EPS outlook as pharmacy and Medicaid support growth

Humana's raised EPS outlook and growth in pharmacy, Medicare Advantage membership, and Medicaid support a constructive near-term trajectory, but regulation, litigation, and member-experience risks temper confidence.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $51.76B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.27 Consensus $5.92
EPS surprise +5.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $32.39B Consensus $31.87B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +12.4% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +12.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.7% Up to 20 sessions
HUMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added support for the outlook through CenterWell Pharmacy performance, stronger individual Medicare Advantage membership, Medicaid expansion, and technology initiatives. Management also raised full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $17, while regulatory, reimbursement, and litigation risks remained.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $17.

Key takeaways

  • CenterWell Pharmacy growth was supported by direct-to-consumer volume and specialty-pharmacy mix.
  • Management cited stronger individual Medicare Advantage membership and Medicaid expansion into 10 states.
  • The company is investing in member experience, AI, transformation, and technology integration.
  • Benefit reductions and regulatory uncertainty remain important offsets to the constructive outlook.

Management priorities

  • Expand CenterWell Pharmacy and specialty-drug access.
  • Grow Medicaid contracts and geographic coverage.
  • Invest in member experience, AI, and transformation initiatives.
  • Improve operating leverage through early retirement and shared-services outsourcing.
  • Advance Epic MyChart and other technology initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HUM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $29B Q1 '24 actual $30B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $29B Q2 '24 actual $30B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $29B Q3 '24 actual $29B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $32B Q2 '25 actual $32B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $32B Q3 '25 actual $33B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $32B Q4 '25 actual $33B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $39B Q1 '26 actual $40B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $41B Q2 '26 actual $41B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $41B Q4 '26 estimate $41B Q1 '27 estimate $42B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2045.4%
Neutral2352.3%
Bearish12.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$431.87Current
$180Low
$417.98Average
$652High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 9, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight NeutralUpgradeOct 7, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $431.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$475$387.12 +10.0%Oct 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$582$387.12 +34.8%Oct 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$596$387.12 +38.0%Oct 9, 2026
Robert W. BairdMichael Ha$596$387.12 +38.0%Oct 9, 2026
Raymond JamesSarah James$460$404.28 +6.5%Oct 7, 2026
See 116 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Humana Inc., a prominent health and well-being enterprise, operates across the United States through its various subsidiary companies. Its operational structure is divided into three main segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, and Healthcare Services. The firm provides a wide array of medical and supplementary insurance plans directly to individual consumers. Furthermore, Humana collaborates with government entities; it holds a contract with the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to manage the Limited Income Newly Eligible Transition (LI NET) prescription drug program. The company also secures agreements with numerous states to deliver Medicaid, dual-eligible, and long-term care support benefits.…

Historical context

All HUM earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T09:40:44.899607+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T09:40:44.896863+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.