The Hershey Company · HSY · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Hershey Maintains Outlook as Pricing and Innovation Support Recovery

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive recovery case: pricing, innovation and snack growth can improve earnings, but the thesis remains dependent on elasticity, cocoa-cost relief and execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $32.61B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.21 Consensus $0.99
EPS surprise +21.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.61B Consensus $2.52B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.8% Up to 20 sessions
HSYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the recovery framework is more explicit: management highlighted a mid-teens pricing-related profit benefit, a 500-basis-point 2026 gross-margin expansion target and no strategic reset tied to the CEO transition. Cocoa tariff relief and supply diversification remain unresolved.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management did not signal a directional change to guidance in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted pricing actions expected to generate a mid-teens profit boost, with most of the benefit in 2026.
  • Innovation, salty snacks and instant consumables remain central growth supports.
  • The recovery case depends on pricing elasticity, cocoa-cost relief and supply diversification.

Management priorities

  • Execute pricing and price-pack actions while monitoring elasticity.
  • Advance product innovation, multipack offerings and event-linked marketing.
  • Improve supply-chain agility through ERP and AI investment and diversify cocoa sourcing.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HSY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $3B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish822.8%
Neutral2468.6%
Bearish38.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$160.8Previous close
$129.11Low
$212.19Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 5, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 3, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $160.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$206$187.84 +28.1%Aug 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$175.05 +24.4%Aug 3, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$201$174.83 +25.0%Jul 31, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$190$174.91 +18.2%Jul 31, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$191$177.2 +18.8%Jul 31, 2026
See 79 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Hershey Company, operating with its various subsidiaries, serves as a key manufacturer and distributor of both sweet confections and general household pantry items. Its market reach extends across the United States and globally. The enterprise strategically divides its operations into three main business segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and an International division. Its extensive product catalog features a wide array of offerings. This includes various chocolate and non-chocolate candies, as well as refreshing chewing gums and mints. Beyond traditional treats, Hershey also supplies pantry essentials such as baking ingredients, dessert toppings, a range of beverages, and sundae syrups. Furthermore, their snack collection encompasses diverse items like spreads, meat snacks, various bars and snack bites, popcorn, and protein bars.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T06:10:43.877223+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T06:10:43.874397+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.