Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · HPE · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

HPE tops Q1 estimates, raises FY26 EPS guidance as networking surges

HPE's first fiscal quarter showed earnings momentum built on networking strength and AI demand: record non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 beat consensus by about 11% as revenue rose 18% to $9.3 billion. Management raised full-year EPS and free cash flow guidance, citing a record $5 billion AI Systems backlog, Wi-Fi 7 adoption, and on-track Juniper integration as supports. Offsetting forces are persistent DRAM/NAND cost inflation, a modestly lowered Cloud & AI revenue outlook, and the pending H3C acquisition. The stock still moved roughly -3% abnormally in the days after the print, consistent with a slight revenue shortfall and concerns over networking margin and memory costs, but has since drifted materially higher - a sign the market has broadly embraced the raised outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $84.14B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.65 Consensus $0.59
EPS surprise +10.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.30B Consensus $9.35B
Revenue surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +18.4% Up to 20 sessions
HPESPY benchmark

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What changed

Against consensus, HPE reported non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 versus $0.587 estimated (+10.7% surprise) and revenue of $9.301 billion versus $9.349 billion estimated (-0.5% surprise). On guidance, full-year EPS and free cash flow were raised along with the networking growth outlook, while the Cloud & AI revenue outlook was modestly lowered. In the reaction window the shares moved about -3.1% abnormally versus a roughly flat benchmark, followed by subsequent drift of about +18.4%.

Guidance delta

Raised. Full-year FY26 non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow guidance were raised, along with networking growth guidance; the Cloud & AI revenue outlook was modestly lowered. Management cited memory supply contracts and aggressive pricing as offsets to DRAM/NAND cost inflation.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and EPS beat expectations; networking growth far outperformed forecasts.
  • Guidance for FY26 raised on EPS, free cash flow and networking growth, but Cloud & AI revenue outlook modestly lowered.
  • Commodity price pressures (DRAM/NAND) are being mitigated through aggressive pricing and supply contracts.
  • Juniper integration is on track, delivering early sales synergies and a unified networking go-to-market.
  • GreenLake continues to expand, approaching 50,000 customers and on track for a $3.5 billion ARR target.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale the new PTX router series
  • Accelerate Wi-Fi 7 deployments across campus and branch markets
  • Complete Phase 2 of Juniper integration and realize full synergy targets
  • Expand GreenLake services and achieve $3.5 billion ARR by FY26
  • Close the pending H3C acquisition in H1 2026

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.47 Q3 '24 actual $0.50, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.35 Q2 '25 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.58 Q4 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.54 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.93 Q3 '26 actual $1.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.26 Q1 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1846.1%
Neutral2051.3%
Bearish12.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.59Current
$13Low
$47.28Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeSep 14, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 3, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 31, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJun 3, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 2, 2026
Loop Capital Buy HoldUpgradeJun 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 2, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJun 2, 2026
BWG Global Positive MixedUpgradeNov 24, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainDec 6, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 30, 2023
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 20, 2021
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 22, 2020
RBC Capital Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2020
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 23, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMar 4, 2020
Bank of America Buy UnderperformUpgradeOct 21, 2019
Longbow Research Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 21, 2019
Maxim Group Hold HoldMaintainDec 6, 2018
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 29, 2018
Pivotal Research Hold HoldMaintainOct 17, 2017
Tigress Financial Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 17, 2017
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainApr 4, 2017
Argus Hold HoldMaintainFeb 28, 2017
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 4, 2017
CLSA Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 14, 2016
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeMar 21, 2016
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 20, 2015
Brean Capital Hold HoldMaintainNov 6, 2015
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 3, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $63.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$70$48.4 +10.1%Sep 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$48.59 +5.4%Sep 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$65$49.12 +2.2%Sep 3, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$59$51.86 -7.2%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$57$51.86 -10.4%Sep 3, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$79$51.86 +24.2%Sep 3, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$54$51.86 -15.1%Sep 3, 2026
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$86$51.86 +35.3%Sep 3, 2026
Goldman SachsKatherine Murphy$75$51.86 +18.0%Sep 3, 2026
Deutsche BankGianmarco Conti$68$51.86 +6.9%Sep 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$62$52.25 -2.5%Aug 31, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$53.22 +8.5%Aug 10, 2026
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$70$53.29 +10.1%Jun 3, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$79$56.14 +24.2%Jun 3, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$62$59.23 -2.5%Jun 2, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$65$59.3 +2.2%Jun 2, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$65$58.45 +2.2%Jun 2, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$62$58.34 -2.5%Jun 2, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$63$47.06 -0.9%Jun 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$67$47.06 +5.4%Jun 2, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$67$47.06 +5.4%Jun 2, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$75$47.06 +18.0%Jun 2, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$47.06 +10.1%Jun 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$71$47.06 +11.7%Jun 2, 2026
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$74$47.06 +16.4%Jun 2, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Niknam$69$47.06 +8.5%Jun 2, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$80$47.06 +25.8%Jun 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$33$33.8 -48.1%May 21, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$35$32.62 -45.0%May 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$40$33.83 -37.1%May 14, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$30$25.07 -52.8%Mar 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$23$21.68 -63.8%Feb 18, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$31$22.11 -51.2%Jan 13, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$30$24.59 -52.8%Dec 10, 2025
BarclaysTim Long$28$22.9 -56.0%Dec 5, 2025
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$31$22.9 -51.2%Dec 5, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$28$21.9 -56.0%Dec 1, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$24$23.27 -62.3%Oct 21, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$25$25.04 -60.7%Oct 16, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$27$24.93 -57.5%Oct 1, 2025
SusquehannaMehdi Hosseini$21$23.16 -67.0%Sep 4, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$23$15.81 -63.8%Mar 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$24$15.81 -62.3%Mar 7, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$17$15.81 -73.3%Mar 7, 2025
Deutsche BankMatt Niknam$25$21.92 -60.7%Dec 19, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$24$23.64 -62.3%Dec 9, 2024
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$29$17.34 -54.4%Nov 18, 2024
Deutsche BankMatt Niknam$22$20.97 -65.4%Oct 9, 2024
BarclaysTim Long$24$18.88 -62.3%Sep 25, 2024
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$20$18.83 -68.5%Sep 23, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesWamsi Mohan$24$17.23 -62.3%Sep 17, 2024
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$22$17.8 -65.4%Sep 5, 2024
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$26$19.59 -59.1%Jun 7, 2024
UBSDavid Vogt$17$19.48 -73.3%Jun 5, 2024
SusquehannaMehdi Hosseini$20$20.11 -68.5%Jun 5, 2024
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$22$17.6 -65.4%Jun 5, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$22$17.6 -65.4%Jun 5, 2024
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$19$17.14 -70.1%Apr 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$16$15.26 -74.8%Feb 16, 2024
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$18$15.76 -71.7%Nov 27, 2023
SusquehannaMehdi Hosseini$16$14.52 -74.8%May 31, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$20$15.58 -68.5%Dec 20, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$13$16.7 -79.6%Dec 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$13$15.74 -79.6%Nov 30, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$15.46 -71.7%Nov 30, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$15$13.66 -76.4%Aug 31, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$14$13.66 -78.0%Aug 31, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$16$12.82 -74.8%Jul 14, 2022
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$18$13.79 -71.7%Jun 28, 2022
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$19$13.42 -70.1%Jun 21, 2022
Deutsche BankSidney Ho$16$13.72 -74.8%Jun 14, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$13.5$14.58 -78.8%Jun 2, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$20$15.78 -68.5%Jun 2, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$19$15.78 -70.1%Jun 2, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$18$14.91 -71.7%May 25, 2022
JefferiesKyle McNealy$20$15.52 -68.5%Apr 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$15$15.38 -76.4%Apr 16, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$16$16.55 -74.8%Mar 13, 2022
BernsteinToni Sacconaghi$20$16.99 -68.5%Mar 2, 2022
BarclaysTim Long$20$16.83 -68.5%Jan 4, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesWamsi Mohan$19$14 -70.1%Dec 1, 2021
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$21$14 -67.0%Dec 1, 2021
Goldman SachsRod Hall$14$15.7 -78.0%Nov 11, 2021
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$20$15.12 -68.5%Sep 3, 2021
Deutsche BankSidney Ho$18$15.04 -71.7%Sep 2, 2021
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$20$15.58 -68.5%Jun 2, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a global technology firm that provides comprehensive solutions, empowering clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan to efficiently capture, analyze, and utilize their data. The company's diverse product range features adaptable servers for various computing demands, including general-purpose, workload-optimized, and specific lines like HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers, HPE BladeSystem, and HPE Synergy. HPE also offers a full suite of storage solutions, from traditional tape and storage networking to advanced disk products such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. Additionally, its portfolio includes specialized high-performance computing (HPC) offerings like HPE Apollo and Cray, alongside critical infrastructure platforms such as HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T16:31:12.926615+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T16:31:12.923750+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.