Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · HPE · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

HPE tops Q1 estimates, raises FY26 EPS guidance as networking surges

HPE's first fiscal quarter showed earnings momentum built on networking strength and AI demand: record non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 beat consensus by about 11% as revenue rose 18% to $9.3 billion. Management raised full-year EPS and free cash flow guidance, citing a record $5 billion AI Systems backlog, Wi-Fi 7 adoption, and on-track Juniper integration as supports. Offsetting forces are persistent DRAM/NAND cost inflation, a modestly lowered Cloud & AI revenue outlook, and the pending H3C acquisition. The stock still moved roughly -3% abnormally in the days after the print, consistent with a slight revenue shortfall and concerns over networking margin and memory costs, but has since drifted materially higher - a sign the market has broadly embraced the raised outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $84.14B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.65 Consensus $0.59
EPS surprise +10.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.30B Consensus $9.35B
Revenue surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +18.4% Up to 20 sessions
HPESPY benchmark

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What changed

Against consensus, HPE reported non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 versus $0.587 estimated (+10.7% surprise) and revenue of $9.301 billion versus $9.349 billion estimated (-0.5% surprise). On guidance, full-year EPS and free cash flow were raised along with the networking growth outlook, while the Cloud & AI revenue outlook was modestly lowered. In the reaction window the shares moved about -3.1% abnormally versus a roughly flat benchmark, followed by subsequent drift of about +18.4%.

Guidance delta

Raised. Full-year FY26 non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow guidance were raised, along with networking growth guidance; the Cloud & AI revenue outlook was modestly lowered. Management cited memory supply contracts and aggressive pricing as offsets to DRAM/NAND cost inflation.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and EPS beat expectations; networking growth far outperformed forecasts.
  • Guidance for FY26 raised on EPS, free cash flow and networking growth, but Cloud & AI revenue outlook modestly lowered.
  • Commodity price pressures (DRAM/NAND) are being mitigated through aggressive pricing and supply contracts.
  • Juniper integration is on track, delivering early sales synergies and a unified networking go-to-market.
  • GreenLake continues to expand, approaching 50,000 customers and on track for a $3.5 billion ARR target.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale the new PTX router series
  • Accelerate Wi-Fi 7 deployments across campus and branch markets
  • Complete Phase 2 of Juniper integration and realize full synergy targets
  • Expand GreenLake services and achieve $3.5 billion ARR by FY26
  • Close the pending H3C acquisition in H1 2026

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $7B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $7B Q1 '24 actual $7B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7B Q2 '24 actual $7B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $8B, match Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $10B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '26 actual $9B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $10B Q2 '26 actual $11B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12B Q3 '26 actual $12B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '27 estimate $13B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1846.1%
Neutral2051.3%
Bearish12.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.59Current
$13Low
$47.28Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeSep 14, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $63.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$70$48.4 +10.1%Sep 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$48.59 +5.4%Sep 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$65$49.12 +2.2%Sep 3, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$59$51.86 -7.2%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$57$51.86 -10.4%Sep 3, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a global technology firm that provides comprehensive solutions, empowering clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan to efficiently capture, analyze, and utilize their data. The company's diverse product range features adaptable servers for various computing demands, including general-purpose, workload-optimized, and specific lines like HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers, HPE BladeSystem, and HPE Synergy. HPE also offers a full suite of storage solutions, from traditional tape and storage networking to advanced disk products such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. Additionally, its portfolio includes specialized high-performance computing (HPC) offerings like HPE Apollo and Cray, alongside critical infrastructure platforms such as HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T16:31:12.926615+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T16:31:12.923750+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.