Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · HPE · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2024

HPE: AI conversion lifts growth as EPS outlook rises

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI systems conversion, GreenLake growth and hybrid-cloud expansion improved HPE’s trajectory, while deal timing, margins, integration and regional demand remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $73.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.50 Consensus $0.47
EPS surprise +6.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.67B Consensus $7.67B
Revenue surprise +0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -5.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +15.4% Up to 20 sessions
HPESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, AI systems conversion accelerated, revenue grew 10% year over year, full-year EPS guidance was raised, and HPE launched Private Cloud AI while advancing Juniper and integrating Morpheus Data.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year GAAP and non-GAAP EPS guidance; the supplied analysis does not provide the prior and new numerical ranges.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 10% year over year, driven by AI systems conversion and GreenLake subscription growth.
  • AI portfolio expansion, including HPE Private Cloud AI and direct-liquid-cooled systems, remains a key growth engine.
  • Management said Juniper Networks acquisition progress and Morpheus Data integration strengthen hybrid-cloud capabilities.
  • Free cash flow remained solid, with the supplied analysis keeping FY2024 at $1.9 billion despite a third-quarter dip.

Management priorities

  • Convert AI systems orders into revenue and expand AI services.
  • Grow GreenLake ARR and increase the software-services mix.
  • Scale HPE Private Cloud AI and direct-liquid-cooled systems.
  • Integrate Morpheus Data into GreenLake multi-cloud automation.
  • Close and integrate the pending Juniper Networks acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.47 Q3 '24 actual $0.50, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.35 Q2 '25 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.58 Q4 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.54 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.93 Q3 '26 actual $1.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.27 Q1 '27 estimate $1.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish1845.0%
Neutral2152.5%
Bearish12.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.13Previous close
$13Low
$51.12Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 14, 2026
Daiwa Capital Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $55.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysTim Long$77$68.8 +39.7%Oct 14, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$70$68.57 +27.0%Oct 2, 2026
DaiwaAnalyst unavailable$75$64.62 +36.0%Oct 1, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$75$61.82 +36.0%Oct 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$66$61.93 +19.7%Oct 1, 2026
See 90 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a global technology firm that provides comprehensive solutions, empowering clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan to efficiently capture, analyze, and utilize their data. The company's diverse product range features adaptable servers for various computing demands, including general-purpose, workload-optimized, and specific lines like HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers, HPE BladeSystem, and HPE Synergy. HPE also offers a full suite of storage solutions, from traditional tape and storage networking to advanced disk products such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. Additionally, its portfolio includes specialized high-performance computing (HPC) offerings like HPE Apollo and Cray, alongside critical infrastructure platforms such as HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T08:30:43.677380+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T08:30:43.674643+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.