Honeywell International Inc. · HON · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Honeywell Enters 2026 With Record Backlog and Portfolio Changes

Honeywell's current analysis supports a constructive operating view: strong orders, a record backlog, pricing execution and new products provide support for 2026 growth. The thesis is conditional on management executing the aerospace separation and divestitures while converting backlog into sales and expanding margins.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $66.60B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.18 Consensus $5.08
EPS surprise +2.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.76B Consensus $9.96B
Revenue surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.6% Up to 20 sessions
HONSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds 23% organic order growth, a record $37 billion backlog, the completed Solstice spin-off, the Helios quantum-computer launch and a planned Q3 2026 aerospace spin-off. Compared with the prior quarter, portfolio simplification has progressed and 2026 guidance is now reaffirmed.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance for $38.8-$39.8 billion of sales, $10.35-$10.65 of EPS and 20-60 basis points of margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Organic orders grew 23% in Q4 2025, and backlog reached a record $37 billion.
  • Management highlighted price execution, new products, Honeywell Forge and quantum-computing progress as growth drivers.
  • Portfolio simplification is advancing, including the planned aerospace spin-off and 2026 business sales.
  • Capital deployment is focused on debt reduction, dividends, share repurchases and modestly higher capital spending.

Management priorities

  • Convert the record backlog into sales.
  • Execute the planned aerospace spin-off and divestitures while reducing stranded costs.
  • Expand Honeywell Forge and advance new products, including Helios and next-generation quantum machines.
  • Use pricing discipline and capital allocation to support margins and free cash flow.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HON EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.17 Q1 '24 actual $2.25, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.42 Q2 '24 actual $2.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.50 Q3 '24 actual $2.58, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.32 Q2 '25 actual $4.92, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.56 Q3 '25 actual $2.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.08 Q4 '25 actual $5.18, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.43 Q1 '26 actual $2.58, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.80 Q2 '26 actual $1.95, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.17 Q4 '26 estimate $2.42 Q1 '27 estimate $2.19 Q2 '27 estimate $2.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy30 ratings
Bullish2066.7%
Neutral1033.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$211.1Current
$175Low
$239.49Average
$293High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 31, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 18, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJul 28, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $211.1. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$231$211.79 +9.4%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$217.43 +18.4%Aug 31, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$293$229.15 +38.8%Aug 18, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$255$229.95 +20.8%Aug 17, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$175$246.21 -17.1%Aug 9, 2026
See 72 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Honeywell International Inc. functions as a global leader in diversified technology and manufacturing. Its Aerospace division furnishes a comprehensive array of products and services for the aviation and space industries. This includes crucial components like auxiliary power units, propulsion systems, integrated avionics, environmental control mechanisms, and electrical power solutions. The segment also supplies engine controls, flight safety systems, communication and navigation hardware, and advanced data and software applications. Additionally, it provides radar, surveillance systems, aircraft lighting, sophisticated instruments, satellite and space components, and aircraft wheels and brakes. Essential support services cover spare parts, repairs, overhauls, maintenance, thermal systems, and wireless connectivity management. The Honeywell Building Technologies unit focuses on creating smarter, safer, and more efficient structures.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T18:46:06.562186+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T18:46:06.559160+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.