Honeywell International Inc. · HON · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Honeywell: EPS Resilience Despite Lower Sales Outlook

Honeywell’s latest analysis supports a mixed view: resilient EPS, margins, backlog, and aerospace demand provide evidence of operating strength, but the revenue miss, lower organic-growth outlook, short-cycle weakness, and working-capital pressure temper confidence in near-term growth.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $67.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.58 Consensus $2.50
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.73B Consensus $9.89B
Revenue surprise -1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.1% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.1% Up to 20 sessions
HONSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the tone shifted from raised guidance and broad confidence to a lower full-year organic-sales outlook, even as margin expectations improved. The current analysis also emphasizes record backlog, four completed acquisitions, the Advanced Materials spin-off, and AI partnerships as the next execution tests.

Guidance delta

Management lowered full-year organic sales-growth guidance to 3%-4% while raising segment-margin guidance to the high end; the supplied analysis characterizes overall guidance sentiment as lowered.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue missed guidance, but adjusted EPS and segment margins reached the high end of guidance.
  • Record backlog and strong Energy & Sustainability and Building Automation orders support demand visibility.
  • Management lowered full-year organic sales-growth guidance to 3%-4% as short-cycle weakness and disruptions weighed on sales.
  • Portfolio reshaping, AI-enabled Forge applications, and installed-base monetization remain central to the 2025 plan.

Management priorities

  • Deliver organic growth and margin expansion across the four businesses in 2025.
  • Launch AI-enabled Honeywell Forge applications and expand digital monetization.
  • Continue portfolio simplification, high-return capital projects, and selected bolt-on acquisitions.
  • Use backlog, installed-base services, and new product innovation to support growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HON EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.60 Q4 '23 actual $2.60, match Q1 '24 estimate $2.17 Q1 '24 actual $2.25, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.42 Q2 '24 actual $2.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.50 Q3 '24 actual $2.58, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.32 Q2 '25 actual $4.92, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.56 Q3 '25 actual $2.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.08 Q4 '25 actual $5.18, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.43 Q1 '26 actual $2.58, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.80 Q2 '26 actual $1.95, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.17 Q4 '26 estimate $2.41 Q1 '27 estimate $2.15 Q2 '27 estimate $2.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy30 ratings
Bullish2066.7%
Neutral1033.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$211.41Previous close
$175Low
$239.88Average
$293High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 31, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $211.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$255$207.61 +20.6%Oct 15, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$231$211.79 +9.3%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$217.43 +18.3%Aug 31, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$293$229.15 +38.6%Aug 18, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$255$229.95 +20.6%Aug 17, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Honeywell International Inc. functions as a global leader in diversified technology and manufacturing. Its Aerospace division furnishes a comprehensive array of products and services for the aviation and space industries. This includes crucial components like auxiliary power units, propulsion systems, integrated avionics, environmental control mechanisms, and electrical power solutions. The segment also supplies engine controls, flight safety systems, communication and navigation hardware, and advanced data and software applications. Additionally, it provides radar, surveillance systems, aircraft lighting, sophisticated instruments, satellite and space components, and aircraft wheels and brakes. Essential support services cover spare parts, repairs, overhauls, maintenance, thermal systems, and wireless connectivity management. The Honeywell Building Technologies unit focuses on creating smarter, safer, and more efficient structures.…

Historical context

All HON earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T08:00:44.900423+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T08:00:44.897182+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.