Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. · HLT · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Hilton sustains unit growth as RevPAR outlook holds

Hilton's record unit growth, international pipeline, and resilient group and business-transient demand support the growth narrative, while softer RevPAR and macro risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $77.67B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.92 Consensus $1.84
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.87B Consensus $2.90B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.1% Up to 20 sessions
HLTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Hilton reported record quarterly openings, surpassed 8,000 hotels, and reached 200 million Hilton Honors members. Management highlighted international expansion and conversions while maintaining its full-year outlook.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year RevPAR growth is guided at 2–2.5% and adjusted EBITDA growth at around 10%.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 8% year over year and exceeded the high end of guidance despite softer RevPAR.
  • Net unit growth reached a company-record 7.8%, with the hotel count exceeding 8,000.
  • The roughly 492,000-room pipeline is 60% outside the U.S., with conversions accounting for one-third of openings.

Management priorities

  • Expand the Spark brand in Germany and Austria.
  • Add Graduate and Small Luxury Hotels of the World properties.
  • Maintain momentum in the conversion pipeline across regions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HLT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.56 Q4 '23 actual $1.68, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.41 Q1 '24 actual $1.53, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.86 Q2 '24 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.84 Q3 '24 actual $1.92, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.05 Q2 '25 actual $2.20, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.06 Q3 '25 actual $2.11, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.02 Q4 '25 actual $2.08, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.98 Q1 '26 actual $2.01, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.27 Q2 '26 actual $2.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.35 Q4 '26 estimate $2.28 Q1 '27 estimate $2.17
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy49 ratings
Bullish2857.1%
Neutral2142.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$345.12Previous close
$135Low
$277.86Average
$384High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 11, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $345.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$384$342.97 +11.3%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$336$326.56 -2.6%Oct 12, 2026
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$316$308.66 -8.4%Sep 10, 2026
UBSRobin Farley$363$324.99 +5.2%Aug 14, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$365$314.66 +5.8%Aug 12, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree…

Historical context

All HLT earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T08:20:47.090411+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T08:20:47.087476+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.