Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. · HII · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
HII raises growth outlook as shipbuilding throughput improves
The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for HII: record revenue, improved throughput, a raised medium-term growth outlook, and expanding unmanned-systems activity provide evidence of durable program demand. The counterweight is execution risk, particularly flat margins, higher capital needs, labor requirements, and dependence on defense funding.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
prior-close to event-session closeAsk FN2 about HII FY2025 Q4
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the current analysis points to record FY2025 revenue, a 14% 2025 throughput improvement, a further 15% 2026 throughput target, higher 2026 capital investment, and a raised medium-term shipbuilding growth outlook. Management also highlighted the HD Hyundai memorandum and continued expansion in unmanned and high-energy laser capabilities.
Guidance delta
Management raised medium-term shipbuilding revenue growth guidance to roughly 6% and forecast 2026 free cash flow of $500-$600 million.
Key takeaways
- Revenue grew 8.2% to $12.5 billion, with record revenue across all three divisions.
- Shipbuilding throughput rose 14% in 2025, with another 15% increase targeted for 2026.
- Capital investment is expected to rise to 4%-5% of sales in 2026 for shipyard upgrades and manufacturing centers.
- Unmanned systems and high-energy laser technologies are becoming important Mission Technologies growth areas.
Management priorities
- Deliver SSN 800, LPD 30, and preliminary acceptance of CVN 79 in 2026.
- Hire at least 6,600 shipbuilders in 2026 and continue workforce-retention initiatives.
- Invest in shipyard capital projects, including carrier refueling and overhaul work centers.
- Pursue additional Virginia Block VI, Columbia Block II, CVN 75 RCOH, and CVN 82 contracts.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 20, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Alembic Global | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Vertical Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 10, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Apr 14, 2022 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 11, 2020 |
| Stifel | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | May 22, 2020 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 21, 2020 |
| Seaport Global | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 19, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 27, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 6, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 12, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Sell | Sell | Maintain | May 4, 2018 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 20, 2016 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Mar 5, 2014 |
| CRT Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 19, 2013 |
| Miller Tabak | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 9, 2012 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 9, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $259.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $327 | $270.95 | +25.9% | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $341 | $294.63 | +31.3% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $337 | $271.05 | +29.8% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $325 | $289.46 | +25.2% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $421 | $388.26 | +62.1% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $419 | $397.77 | +61.4% | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $425 | $425.9 | +63.7% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $412 | $396.69 | +58.7% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $362 | $303.56 | +39.4% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $356 | $320.06 | +37.1% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $264 | $285.38 | +1.7% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $235 | $233.18 | -9.5% | May 5, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Myles Walton | $335 | $293.93 | +29.0% | Mar 21, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $244 | $228.11 | -6.0% | Jan 12, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $229.47 | -26.8% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $223.21 | -3.7% | Nov 15, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Joseph DeNardi | $215 | $213.24 | -17.2% | May 6, 2021 |
| Capital One Financial | Jonathan Raviv | $235 | $203.51 | -9.5% | Apr 15, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) stands as a prominent American enterprise specializing in the comprehensive lifecycle management of military vessels, encompassing their design, construction, modernization, and maintenance. The company's diverse operations are segmented into three core divisions: Ingalls Shipbuilding, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Technical Solutions. HII is a primary builder of non-nuclear ships, delivering amphibious assault ships, expeditionary warfare vessels, surface combatants, and national security cutters to both the U.S. Navy and U.S. Coast Guard. Furthermore, it plays a critical role in providing nuclear-powered ships, including aircraft carriers and submarines, along with essential associated services such as refueling, extensive overhauls, and inactivation procedures.…
Historical context
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Get the HII recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T07:26:05.409312+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T07:26:05.406657+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.