Hasbro, Inc. · HAS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Hasbro raises guidance as Magic and margins drive record profitability

The supplied transcript analysis supports the view that Hasbro's earnings growth is being reinforced by Magic demand, licensing expansion, improved Consumer Products margins and cost productivity. The key test is whether Wizards momentum and margin gains remain durable as Q4 timing, royalties, marketing spending and digital-title amortization create pressure.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $13.89B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.86
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.48B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.8% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
HASSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Hasbro's reported narrative strengthened: revenue growth was described at 15%, adjusted operating profit rose 52%, Magic revenue exceeded $600 million, and full-year revenue growth guidance moved from 5%-7% to 7%-9%. Management also emphasized a larger digital-game pipeline, broader licensing expansion, declining capex and a $400 million annual share-repurchase program.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue growth guidance to 7%-9% from the prior quarter's 5%-7% range and provided adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.575-$1.625 billion.

Key takeaways

  • The transcript analysis describes record profitability, with revenue up 15% year over year and adjusted operating profit up 52%.
  • Magic: The Gathering revenue exceeded $600 million and grew 34% year over year, supported by new-player growth, IP collaborations and broader distribution.
  • Consumer Products margin improved with cost productivity, tariff refunds and strong Marvel product performance.
  • Management outlined continued investment in digital gaming and licensing while planning lower capital expenditure.

Management priorities

  • Scale Magic production capacity and retail distribution.
  • Launch the 2027 Magic tentpole-set slate and develop the Exodus and Warlock digital pipeline.
  • Expand licensing across Legend of Zelda, Harry Potter, Star Trek and Marvel-related properties.
  • Continue cost productivity initiatives and capital returns, including the increased share-repurchase program.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HAS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $740M Q1 '24 actual $757M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $941M Q2 '24 actual $996M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $981M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $969M Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1651.6%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$106.54Current
$64Low
$96.66Average
$123High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $106.54. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnthony Bonadio$90$93.33 -15.5%Aug 20, 2026
UBSArpine Kocharyan$120$89.3 +12.6%Jul 27, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$95$88.09 -10.8%Jul 22, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$110$81.76 +3.2%Jul 16, 2026
UBSArpine Kocharyan$110$84.72 +3.2%Jun 18, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hasbro, Inc., alongside its various subsidiaries, operates as a global leader in the play and entertainment industry. Its Consumer Products segment focuses on the procurement, marketing, and global distribution of toys and games. This division further amplifies its brands by out-licensing trademarks, characters, and intellectual property rights to third parties, enabling the creation and sale of a diverse range of branded consumer goods, such as apparel and toys. Its extensive product catalog encompasses action figures, arts and crafts supplies, fashion dolls and other figurines, playsets, preschool toys, plush items, sports-action blasters and accessories, toy vehicles, and specialty play items, in addition to various traditional games. The company also offers licensed merchandise spanning apparel, publishing, home goods, electronics, and toy products.…

Historical context

All HAS earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
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GM General Motors Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — -7.3% GM raises 2027 targets as trucks, software and defense drive growth

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-20T16:07:01.252513+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-20T01:23:14.154112+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T16:10:44.359279+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T16:10:44.356596+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.