Hasbro, Inc. · HAS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Hasbro’s MAGIC momentum leads growth as tariffs remain a risk

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis for Hasbro: strong MAGIC and Wizards momentum, licensing, digital gaming, and cost actions provide growth support, but tariff exposure, royalty inflation, and execution around EXODUS and supply-chain changes remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $12.63B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.68 Consensus $1.66
EPS surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.39B Consensus $1.26B
Revenue surprise +10.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.7% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.5% Up to 20 sessions
HASSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis places greater emphasis on MAGIC and Wizards as the growth engine, a flat Consumer Products base with improving point-of-sale momentum, expanded U.S. manufacturing, and a larger cost-transformation target. The supplied facts do not identify a new numerical guidance change versus the prior quarter.

Guidance delta

Current analysis characterizes full-year guidance as raised, with high single-digit revenue growth and a 22%–23% adjusted operating margin; the supplied prior-quarter analysis also characterized guidance as raised.

Key takeaways

  • Wizards and MAGIC are identified as Hasbro’s primary growth engines, with current analysis describing revenue growth of more than 40% and MAGIC growth of 55%.
  • Consumer Products are described as flat year to date, while point-of-sale momentum and holiday restocking support the expected outlook.
  • Management highlighted new MAGIC sets, entertainment tie-ins, digital gaming, and expanded retail distribution as growth drivers.
  • Supply-chain diversification and cost-transformation initiatives remain central to mitigating tariff exposure and supporting profitability.

Management priorities

  • Extend the MAGIC and Universes Beyond product pipeline.
  • Develop and launch EXODUS while expanding the digital gaming portfolio.
  • Increase U.S. manufacturing and diversify supply away from China and Vietnam.
  • Continue cost transformation, with the analysis citing a goal of $1 billion in savings by 2027.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HAS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $740M Q1 '24 actual $757M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $941M Q2 '24 actual $996M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $981M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $969M Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1651.6%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$89.54Current
$64Low
$96.66Average
$123High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $89.54. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnthony Bonadio$90$93.33 +0.5%Aug 20, 2026
UBSArpine Kocharyan$120$89.3 +34.0%Jul 27, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$95$88.09 +6.1%Jul 22, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$110$81.76 +22.9%Jul 16, 2026
UBSArpine Kocharyan$110$84.72 +22.9%Jun 18, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hasbro, Inc., alongside its various subsidiaries, operates as a global leader in the play and entertainment industry. Its Consumer Products segment focuses on the procurement, marketing, and global distribution of toys and games. This division further amplifies its brands by out-licensing trademarks, characters, and intellectual property rights to third parties, enabling the creation and sale of a diverse range of branded consumer goods, such as apparel and toys. Its extensive product catalog encompasses action figures, arts and crafts supplies, fashion dolls and other figurines, playsets, preschool toys, plush items, sports-action blasters and accessories, toy vehicles, and specialty play items, in addition to various traditional games. The company also offers licensed merchandise spanning apparel, publishing, home goods, electronics, and toy products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T01:50:42.118468+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T01:50:42.115587+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.