Hyatt Hotels Corporation · H · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Hyatt leans on asset-light growth, fees and loyalty for 2026

The call supports a measured growth case: management described continued room additions, loyalty engagement and fee growth as drivers, with an asset-light model intended to increase the share of fee-based earnings. The thesis is conditional on execution and demand holding up; hurricane-related disruption, construction economics and pockets of softer U.S. demand remain counterweights.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $17.02B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.33 Consensus $0.29
EPS surprise +358.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.79B Consensus $1.80B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -17.6% Up to 20 sessions
HSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management said the asset-light transformation was complete and described the sale of the remaining Playa hotels alongside long-term management agreements. It also outlined AI-enabled search and booking initiatives, and said it would change its adjusted EBITDA definition beginning in 2026, which may affect comparisons.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance sentiment and projected 2026 gross-fee growth of 8–11%. The supplied analysis also describes an expected 90% asset-light earnings mix in 2026; no further guidance revision is indicated in the supplied materials.

Key takeaways

  • System-wide RevPAR grew 4% year over year in Q4, with luxury and leisure cited as leading segments.
  • Net rooms grew 7.3%, including 6.7% organic growth, and the development pipeline was about 148,000 rooms.
  • Management expects gross fees to grow 8–11% in 2026 and described the asset-light shift as complete.
  • The loyalty program, new brand pipelines and AI-enabled search are management-identified growth initiatives; their contribution remains dependent on execution.

Management priorities

  • Expand World of Hyatt membership and higher-value guest stays.
  • Grow the development pipeline and scale Hyatt Select, Hyatt Studios and Unscripted.
  • Develop AI-enabled search and booking tools across digital channels.
  • Continue asset-light portfolio transactions and return capital through repurchases and dividends.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
H EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.97 Q2 '24 actual $1.53, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.90 Q3 '24 actual $0.94, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.62 Q2 '25 actual $1.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $-0.30, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.29 Q4 '25 actual $1.33, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.56 Q1 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.91 Q2 '26 actual $1.12, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.76 Q3 '26 actual $1.27, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.98 Q1 '27 estimate $0.92 Q2 '27 estimate $1.20 Q3 '27 estimate $1.23
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold49 ratings
Bullish1938.8%
Neutral2551.0%
Bearish510.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$185.96Current
$84Low
$166.43Average
$222High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 30, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 22, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 21, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 15, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainDec 31, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Market PerformUpgradeJul 1, 2025
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainMay 2, 2025
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainApr 9, 2025
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeNov 1, 2024
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2024
TD Cowen Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMar 21, 2024
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainFeb 14, 2024
Redburn Atlantic Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 16, 2024
Redburn Partners Buy BuyMaintainNov 30, 2022
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeSep 15, 2022
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainOct 6, 2021
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 22, 2020
Gordon Haskett Hold UnderperformUpgradeNov 25, 2020
UBS Sell SellMaintainJun 5, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainApr 29, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainDec 19, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 7, 2019
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 1, 2018
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 1, 2018
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 31, 2018
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 23, 2018
MKM Partners Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 7, 2017
B. Riley Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 6, 2017
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 26, 2017
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeNov 2, 2016
Wolfe Research Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 6, 2016
Telsey Advisory Group Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 4, 2016
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainJun 18, 2015
Credit Suisse Underperform NeutralDowngradeAug 1, 2014
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 1, 2014
ISI Group Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 14, 2013
Evercore Partners Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 29, 2013
Cantor Fitzgerald Hold HoldMaintainFeb 14, 2013
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 15, 2013
Credit Agricole Buy BuyMaintainNov 27, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $185.96. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsLizzie Dove$215$184.3 +15.6%Oct 30, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$189$169.13 +1.6%Oct 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$202$168.91 +8.6%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$211$161.94 +13.5%Oct 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$222$157.14 +19.4%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$198$161.27 +6.5%Sep 10, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$203$162.55 +9.2%Sep 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$209$179.5 +12.4%Aug 18, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$191$174.06 +2.7%Aug 3, 2026
Deutsche BankSteven Pizzella$205$172.07 +10.2%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysBrandt Montour$201$176.68 +8.1%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$220$190.65 +18.3%Jul 20, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$186$191 +0.0%Jul 16, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$212$189.16 +14.0%Jun 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$208$182.17 +11.9%Jun 1, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$185$181.36 -0.5%Jun 1, 2026
Wells FargoTrey Bowers$182$181.36 -2.1%Jun 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$182$185.46 -2.1%May 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$221$185.46 +18.8%May 29, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$202$169.98 +8.6%May 15, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$180$163.73 -3.2%May 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$219$169.02 +17.8%May 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$171$169.64 -8.0%Apr 30, 2026
Evercore ISIDuane Pfennigwerth$180$163.9 -3.2%Apr 24, 2026
SusquehannaChristopher Stathoulopoulos$185$165.44 -0.5%Apr 23, 2026
BarclaysBrandt Montour$197$163.46 +5.9%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$195$155.67 +4.9%Apr 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdMichael Bellisario$182$168.38 -2.1%Feb 19, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$192$167.21 +3.2%Feb 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$224$169.07 +20.5%Feb 13, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$170$170.3 -8.6%Feb 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$175$163.75 -5.9%Jan 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$194$169.71 +4.3%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$198$169.71 +6.5%Jan 16, 2026
Goldman SachsLizzie Dove$198$168.55 +6.5%Jan 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$223$165.27 +19.9%Jan 13, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$189$163.64 +1.6%Jan 6, 2026
BernsteinRichard Clarke$188$162.87 +1.1%Jan 2, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$164$160.98 -11.8%Dec 31, 2025
BarclaysBrandt Montour$200$162.69 +7.6%Dec 17, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$156$151.88 -16.1%Nov 20, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$154$147.9 -17.2%Oct 21, 2025
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$177$141.03 -4.8%Sep 17, 2025
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$159$144.14 -14.5%Sep 3, 2025
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$150$104.22 -19.3%Apr 21, 2025
Goldman SachsLizzie Dove$110$109.07 -40.8%Apr 14, 2025
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$163$142.75 -12.3%Feb 18, 2025
JefferiesDavid Katz$176$156.31 -5.4%Jan 2, 2025
Wells FargoDaniel Politzer$178$152.18 -4.3%Oct 22, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesShaun Kelley$175$152.64 -5.9%Oct 21, 2024
CFRAGarrett Nelson$155$152.61 -16.6%Oct 17, 2024
Robert W. BairdMichael Bellisario$157$153.52 -15.6%Oct 17, 2024
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$169$154.91 -9.1%Oct 14, 2024
Robert W. BairdMichael Bellisario$158$151.59 -15.0%Sep 24, 2024
Goldman SachsLizzie Dove$151$148.38 -18.8%Sep 18, 2024
CitigroupMichael Bilerman$165$149.13 -11.3%Sep 3, 2024
JefferiesDavid Katz$152$147.54 -18.3%Aug 28, 2024
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$164$135.14 -11.8%Aug 12, 2024
BarclaysBrandt Montour$146$132.02 -21.5%Aug 7, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$141$132.02 -24.2%Aug 6, 2024
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$168$144.99 -9.7%May 30, 2024
Robert W. BairdMichael Bellisario$162$148.88 -12.9%May 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$204$150.47 +9.7%May 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$195$146.58 +4.9%Apr 23, 2024
Stifel NicolausAntonio Riverwalk$154$155.89 -17.2%Apr 11, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBen Chaiken$197$157.85 +5.9%Mar 25, 2024
Morgan StanleyStephen W Grambling$139$110.31 -25.3%Mar 14, 2023
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$145$112.57 -22.0%Feb 21, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$98.82 -26.9%Dec 5, 2022
JefferiesDavid Katz$93$80.65 -50.0%May 23, 2022
Berenberg BankStuart Gordon$85$83.6 -54.3%May 16, 2022
Credit SuisseBenjamin Chalken$84$81.41 -54.8%May 12, 2022
Deutsche BankCarlo Santarelli$94$84.84 -49.5%May 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$94.01 -47.8%May 2, 2022
Wells FargoDori Kesten$111$98.97 -40.3%Feb 26, 2022
JefferiesDavid Katz$99$89.65 -46.8%Jan 30, 2022
MacquarieChad Beynon$110$87.01 -40.8%Jan 23, 2022
Evercore ISIRichard Hightower$100$89.85 -46.2%Jan 18, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesShaun Kelley$110$95.01 -40.8%Jan 10, 2022
Cowen & Co.Kevin Kopelman$95$95.7 -48.9%Dec 27, 2021
BernsteinRichard Clarke$105$82.63 -43.5%Dec 13, 2021
Loop Capital MarketsDaniel Adam$94$83.3 -49.5%Dec 2, 2021
Goldman SachsStephen Grambling$105$82.63 -43.5%Jun 17, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hyatt Hotels Corporation functions as an international hospitality firm, managing a diverse portfolio of properties across the United States and numerous global markets. Its operational structure encompasses Owned and Leased Hotels, along with regional management and franchising divisions for the Americas, Asia-Pacific (ASPAC), and Europe, Africa, Middle East, and Southwest Asia (EAME/SW Asia), complemented by the Apple Leisure Group. The company actively manages, franchises, licenses, owns, and leases an extensive array of accommodations, ranging from full-service and select-service hotels to resorts, timeshares, fractional ownerships, residential, vacation, and condominium units.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T23:50:44.348143+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T23:50:44.345220+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.