W.W. Grainger, Inc. · GWW · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Grainger raises FY2026 outlook again on broad Q3 growth

Grainger's Q3 performance and another increase to its full-year outlook support a constructive near-term operating picture. The durability of growth and margins remains to be tested against freight and inflation pressures, project mix, and integration costs.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $65.85B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $11.68
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.08B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.5% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
GWWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The Q3 analysis describes double-digit organic growth across both segments and a further increase to the FY2026 outlook. It also identifies an acquisition of computer-vision and AI inventory-management technology, with an initial margin drag expected before scaling. This extends the prior quarter's raised outlook and emphasis on data-center demand and operational investment.

Guidance delta

Raised FY2026 outlook again: the Q3 analysis lists 13–14.5% sales growth and $47–$48 EPS, compared with prior-quarter analysis listing 11.5–13% daily organic sales growth and $45.50–$47.25 EPS. The growth measures are stated differently in the supplied analyses.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 analysis reports 14.9% organic sales growth, 16.1% operating margin and EPS up over 22%.
  • Both High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment were described as strong; data-center and contractor demand were cited as growth drivers.
  • Management plans to integrate inventory-management technology; the analysis says it may initially weigh on margin before becoming neutral at scale.

Management priorities

  • Integrate and scale the inventory-management technology acquisition.
  • Use pricing actions and supplier rebates to protect price-cost neutrality amid inflation.
  • Invest in marketing, delivery and pricing capabilities for Zoro and MonotaRO.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GWW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8.05 Q4 '23 actual $8.33, beat Q1 '24 estimate $9.62 Q1 '24 actual $9.62, match Q2 '24 estimate $9.58 Q2 '24 actual $9.76, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9.97 Q3 '24 actual $9.87, miss Q2 '25 estimate $10.07 Q2 '25 actual $9.97, miss Q3 '25 estimate $9.98 Q3 '25 actual $10.21, beat Q4 '25 estimate $9.46 Q4 '25 actual $9.44, miss Q1 '26 estimate $10.21 Q1 '26 actual $11.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11.30 Q2 '26 actual $12.01, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11.68 Q4 '26 estimate $10.93 Q1 '27 estimate $12.65
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish923.1%
Neutral2666.7%
Bearish410.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,489.39Current
$422Low
$1,082.43Average
$1,428High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 24, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 6, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,489.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$1,172$1,279.47 -21.3%Sep 25, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,400$1,322.05 -6.0%Aug 24, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$1,185$1,297.45 -20.4%Aug 11, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$1,260$1,270.92 -15.4%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,428$1,304.06 -4.1%Aug 5, 2026
See 43 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

W.W. Grainger, Inc. stands as a significant global supplier of maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) supplies and related services. Its market presence spans several international regions, including the United States, Japan, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its operations into two principal divisions: High-Touch Solutions N.A. and Endless Assortment. Grainger's extensive product offerings cover essential categories such as safety and security provisions, equipment for material handling and storage, plumbing and pump components, cleaning and facility upkeep items, and…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T20:04:55.633640+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-04T01:23:13.345574+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T21:30:47.254518+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T21:30:47.251628+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.