Emerson Electric Co. · EMR · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026

Emerson’s FY2026 close: order growth supports a steady FY2027 outlook

Emerson’s Q4 order acceleration and growth in power, LNG, semiconductor and software-related demand support its FY2027 growth outlook. The case remains balanced by weak European and Chinese markets, execution and cost risks, and a possible semiconductor slowdown.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $92.77B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.85
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.11B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
EMRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported Q4 underlying sales growth of 7% and full-year growth of 4%, with orders up 14% year over year. AspenTech integration was completed ahead of schedule, with $100 million of synergies realized, according to the supplied analysis. FY2027 guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY2027 guidance of approximately 5% sales growth, a 29% adjusted EBITDA margin and $7.25 EPS. It also outlined $3.8 billion of planned shareholder returns. The supplied analysis does not indicate a change to this outlook on the call.

Key takeaways

  • Underlying sales grew 7% in Q4 and 4% for FY2026; orders accelerated 14% year over year.
  • Management cited power, LNG, semiconductor and other growth verticals, alongside demand for software and systems.
  • FY2027 guidance was maintained at approximately 5% sales growth, 29% adjusted EBITDA margin and $7.25 EPS.
  • Management described Europe and China as soft, while Middle East growth remained high-single-digit despite conflict.

Management priorities

  • Continue product development and digital grid offerings following AspenTech integration.
  • Expand DeltaV MES subscriptions and the broader software portfolio.
  • Execute the FY2027 outlook and planned $3.8 billion shareholder return.
  • Consider modest bolt-on acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EMR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.28 Q2 '24 actual $1.36, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.41 Q3 '24 actual $1.43, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.47 Q4 '24 actual $1.48, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.51 Q3 '25 actual $1.52, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.62 Q4 '25 actual $1.62, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.42 Q1 '26 actual $1.46, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.53 Q2 '26 actual $1.54, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.68 Q3 '26 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.85 Q1 '27 estimate $1.60 Q2 '27 estimate $1.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold42 ratings
Bullish2252.4%
Neutral1740.5%
Bearish37.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$170.44Current
$95Low
$139.84Average
$186High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainNov 3, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 25, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $170.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$180$161.08 +5.6%Oct 15, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$177$156.08 +3.8%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$135$157.72 -20.8%Aug 28, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$155$157.17 -9.1%Aug 24, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$186$164.05 +9.1%Aug 14, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Emerson Electric Co. is an international technology and engineering firm that delivers diverse solutions to industrial, commercial, and residential clients across the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Automation Solutions, and Commercial & Residential Solutions. Through its Automation Solutions division, Emerson provides a range of products including advanced measurement and analytical instruments, industrial valves, and sophisticated process control software and systems. This segment caters to a broad spectrum of industries such as oil and gas, refining, chemical processing, power generation, life sciences, food and beverage, automotive manufacturing, pulp and paper production, metals and mining, and municipal water utilities. The Commercial & Residential Solutions segment focuses on climate control and other essential home and business applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T17:06:48.922488+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-04T01:23:13.345574+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T23:20:45.034867+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T23:20:45.031825+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.