Guidewire Software, Inc. · GWRE · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Guidewire: Cloud Momentum Remains Strong, With Execution Risks

The current call supports a constructive growth thesis for Guidewire: cloud migration, international expansion and broader platform capabilities are sustaining demand, while the durability of large deals, margin progress and AI commercialization remain unproven.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $13.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.88 Consensus $0.46
EPS surprise +90.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $293.5M Consensus $286.3M
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +16.4% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +16.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.3% Up to 20 sessions
GWRESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call adds Quanti integration, a first Industry Intelligence sale, a Japan investment commitment and broader international cloud momentum to the growth narrative. The key watchpoints remain deal variability, margins, AI commercialization and execution.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained raised versus the prior quarter; the supplied analysis does not provide a precise current-to-prior guidance delta.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record cloud deal activity across major insurer segments and international markets.
  • ARR growth and raised outlook continued to support the cloud-adoption narrative.
  • The Quanti acquisition adds pricing and rating capabilities but increases integration demands.
  • AI, Industry Intelligence and developer tools were presented as future growth drivers.
  • The main counterweights are deal timing, cloud-credit reliance, integration execution and regulatory complexity.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate cloud wins and migrations.
  • Integrate Quanti pricing and rating technology.
  • Expand Industry Intelligence, AI and generative-AI capabilities.
  • Invest in Japan and broaden international partnerships.
  • Develop the partner and developer ecosystem.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GWRE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.17 Q1 '24 actual $-0.44, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.23 Q2 '24 actual $0.46, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.13 Q3 '24 actual $0.26, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.54 Q4 '24 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.64 Q4 '25 actual $0.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.77 Q2 '26 actual $1.17, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.74 Q3 '26 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.93 Q4 '26 actual $0.99, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.75 Q2 '27 estimate $1.08 Q3 '27 estimate $1.02 Q4 '27 estimate $1.38
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy25 ratings
Bullish1872.0%
Neutral624.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$168.86Current
$95Low
$191.54Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $168.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$202.86 +24.4%Sep 4, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$220$202.86 +30.3%Sep 4, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$195$202.86 +15.5%Sep 4, 2026
BTIGAllan Verkhovski$230$201.09 +36.2%Sep 2, 2026
Robert W. BairdJoe Vruwink$235$205.85 +39.2%Aug 31, 2026
See 50 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Guidewire Software, Inc. is a global supplier of software solutions tailored for the property and casualty insurance industry. Its primary offering is Guidewire InsuranceSuite, a comprehensive platform that incorporates core applications like PolicyCenter, BillingCenter, and ClaimCenter. The company also furnishes Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-native platform providing integrated policy, billing, and claims administration for insurers, alongside a self-managed version of the InsuranceSuite. Guidewire's product portfolio extends to specialized management tools, including Rating Management for accurate insurance product pricing, Reinsurance Management for executing rules-based reinsurance strategies throughout underwriting and claims processes, Client Data Management for effective utilization of customer information, and Product Content Management, which provides software tools and standardized templates to streamline the introduction and modification of insurance products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T16:40:42.653051+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T16:40:42.650362+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.