Garmin Ltd. · GRMN · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Garmin posts record Q3 as outdoor demand softens

The current analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: broad-based segment growth, product launches, and raised guidance support Garmin's trajectory, while Outdoor softness and cost and execution risks argue against an unqualified conclusion.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $54.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.99 Consensus $1.99
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.77B Consensus $1.78B
Revenue surprise -0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -11.5% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -11.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.3% Up to 20 sessions
GRMNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis adds record quarterly performance, raised full-year EPS guidance, new product and partnership developments, and a more cautious Outdoor outlook versus the prior quarter.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS guidance and lifted growth expectations for Fitness, Aviation, Marine, and Auto OEM, while moderating the Outdoor outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record quarterly revenue and operating income with robust margins.
  • Fitness, Marine, and Aviation delivered double-digit growth and supported the overall result.
  • Outdoor slowed, leading to a lower growth outlook despite new product launches.
  • Management highlighted healthy channel inventory, tariff mitigation, and continued connectivity investment.

Management priorities

  • Execute new wearable, cycling, marine, equine, and automotive product launches
  • Expand inReach and Messenger connectivity services
  • Advance the late-2026 auto OEM program
  • Manage tariff exposure, inventory, warranty costs, and foreign-exchange effects

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GRMN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish621.4%
Neutral2071.4%
Bearish27.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$281.16Current
$140Low
$262.89Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 16, 2026
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 3, 2025
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $281.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$370$301.94 +31.6%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$289$291.65 +2.8%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$297$294.83 +5.6%Jul 30, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$325$237.45 +15.6%May 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$249$250.6 -11.4%Apr 30, 2026
See 19 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Garmin Ltd. specializes in the design, development, manufacturing, marketing, and global distribution of diverse wireless products and solutions. Its operations span across North and South America, the Asia Pacific region, the Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's offerings are organized into several key segments: Fitness: This division caters to athletes and active individuals with products like specialized running and multi-sport watches, cycling computers, activity trackers, smartwatches, and various fitness-related accessories. Additionally, it supports these offerings with its Garmin Connect web and mobile platforms, alongside Connect IQ, an ecosystem for app development. Outdoor: Garmin's Outdoor category features rugged adventure watches, portable GPS devices, golf-specific instruments and accompanying mobile applications, plus specialized dog tracking and training systems.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T18:50:44.767324+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T18:50:44.764574+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.