Garmin Ltd. · GRMN · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Garmin Raises 2024 Outlook on Wearables and Marine Strength

The supplied analysis supports a constructive earnings trajectory: strong wearable and marine demand, product launches, share gains, and raised guidance outweighed identified risks. The main evidence against a uniformly positive view is auto OEM softness, inventory buildup, and uncertainty around the durability of elevated margins.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $54.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.99 Consensus $1.44
EPS surprise +38.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.59B Consensus $1.44B
Revenue surprise +9.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +23.2% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +23.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
GRMNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Garmin’s current analysis shifts the story from the prior quarter’s broad growth and raised outlook to a record Q3, further guidance increases, and margin expansion, while making auto OEM softness and inventory more prominent risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2024 guidance to $6.12B of revenue and $6.85 EPS, from the prior quarter’s $5.95B and $6.00.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue reached a record $1.59B, up 24% year over year, with margin expansion across segments.
  • Wearables, marine, and new products were central to the quarter’s growth narrative.
  • Garmin said it gained advanced-wearables market share in Europe and globally.
  • Auto OEM remained a clear counterpoint, with softer conditions prompting a lower growth estimate.
  • The Lumishore acquisition broadened the marine portfolio, while inventory buildup remains a watchpoint.

Management priorities

  • Roll out the fenix 8 and Enduro product lines
  • Expand Garmin Health services and corporate-wellness offerings
  • Extend inReach satellite-communication features
  • Integrate Lumishore LED lighting into marine products
  • Develop aviation and auto OEM platforms while reassessing the auto OEM outlook

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GRMN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.40 Q4 '23 actual $1.72, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.01 Q1 '24 actual $1.42, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.44 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.44 Q3 '24 actual $1.99, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.90 Q2 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.99 Q3 '25 actual $1.99, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.40 Q4 '25 actual $2.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.84 Q1 '26 actual $2.08, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.30 Q2 '26 actual $2.81, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.41 Q4 '26 estimate $2.92 Q1 '27 estimate $2.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish621.4%
Neutral2071.4%
Bearish27.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$286.16Current
$140Low
$270.1Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 16, 2026
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 3, 2025
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $286.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchRichard Kramer$335$276.41 +17.1%Oct 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$370$301.94 +29.3%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$289$291.65 +1.0%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$297$294.83 +3.8%Jul 30, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$325$237.45 +13.6%May 20, 2026
See 20 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Garmin Ltd. specializes in the design, development, manufacturing, marketing, and global distribution of diverse wireless products and solutions. Its operations span across North and South America, the Asia Pacific region, the Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's offerings are organized into several key segments: Fitness: This division caters to athletes and active individuals with products like specialized running and multi-sport watches, cycling computers, activity trackers, smartwatches, and various fitness-related accessories. Additionally, it supports these offerings with its Garmin Connect web and mobile platforms, alongside Connect IQ, an ecosystem for app development. Outdoor: Garmin's Outdoor category features rugged adventure watches, portable GPS devices, golf-specific instruments and accompanying mobile applications, plus specialized dog tracking and training systems.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T01:00:44.658837+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T01:00:44.655990+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.