Alphabet Inc. · GOOG · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Alphabet Q1 2026: Cloud tops $20B, EPS $5.11 beats, CapEx raised to $180-190B

Alphabet's Q1 2026 results reinforce AI as the primary growth engine across Search, Cloud and subscriptions. With Cloud revenue surpassing $20B (up 63% YoY), backlog nearly doubling to $462B, and management raising 2026 CapEx to $180-190B, the company is converting AI demand into durable growth, though the scale of investment raises margin and allocation questions.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $4114.19B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.11 Consensus $2.68
EPS surprise +90.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $109.90B Consensus $106.96B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.0% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +9.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.4% Up to 20 sessions
GOOGSPY benchmark

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What changed

EPS of $5.11 beat the $2.68 estimate by ~91%, and revenue of $109.9B topped the $107.0B estimate by 2.7%. Alphabet closed the Wiz acquisition, saw Cloud revenue exceed $20B for the first time, raised full-year 2026 CapEx guidance to $180-190B, and flagged a significant 2027 increase. Shares gained about 9% from event close to next-session close versus about 1% for the S&P 500.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 CapEx guidance to $180-190B (from $175-185B) and flagged a significant further increase planned for 2027; revenue guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • AI-driven growth is now the primary engine across Search, Cloud and subscription businesses.
  • Cloud revenue jumped 63% YoY to over $20B, with backlog nearly doubling to $462B.
  • EPS of $5.11 beat the $2.68 estimate by ~91%; revenue of $109.9B topped consensus by 2.7%.
  • Full-year 2026 CapEx guidance raised to $180-190B, with a significant 2027 increase expected.
  • Alphabet closed the Wiz cloud-security acquisition; Gemini enterprise paid MAUs rose 40% QoQ.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI infrastructure, including streaming TPU hardware to select customer data centers later this year.
  • Expand the Gemini model family (3.1 series, open-source Gemma 4) and Gemini Enterprise capabilities.
  • Grow agentic commerce via the Universal Commerce Protocol and its council partners.
  • Push AI-mode features in Search and Maps and expand AI subscription plans.
  • Contain serving costs through model optimization, with Gemini 3 Pro unit costs down 78% YoY.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GOOG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $79B Q4 '23 actual $86B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $79B Q1 '24 actual $80B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $84B Q2 '24 actual $85B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $86B Q3 '24 actual $88B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $94B Q2 '25 actual $96B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $100B Q3 '25 actual $102B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $111B Q4 '25 actual $114B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $107B Q1 '26 actual $110B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $117B Q2 '26 actual $120B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $127B Q4 '26 estimate $141B Q1 '27 estimate $137B Q2 '27 estimate $147B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy77 ratings
Bullish6888.3%
Neutral810.4%
Bearish11.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$341.42Current
$115Low
$297.03Average
$515High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 12, 2026
Show 72 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $341.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$515$343.94 +50.8%Aug 14, 2026
MacquarieAnalyst unavailable$515$318.34 +50.8%Jul 24, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$350$315.62 +2.5%Jul 23, 2026
Canaccord GenuityMaria Ripps$450$341.91 +31.8%Jul 23, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldDeepak Mathivanan$420$341.91 +23.0%Jul 23, 2026
See 118 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Alphabet Inc. operates globally, providing a wide array of products and digital platforms to customers across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific region, Canada, and Latin America. The company's business is organized into three primary segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services division delivers a broad spectrum of consumer-facing offerings, which include its advertising products, the Android operating system, Chrome browser, various hardware devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search functionality, and YouTube.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T14:11:03.738073+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T14:11:03.735058+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.