Generac Holdings Inc. · GNRC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Generac: C&I strength and data-center backlog lift the outlook

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view: stronger residential and C&I demand, profitable energy-storage growth and a data-center backlog strengthen the growth case, while solar weakness, tariffs and capacity constraints could limit execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $12.76B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.65 Consensus $1.33
EPS surprise +24.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.06B Consensus $1.21B
Revenue surprise -12.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +19.6% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +19.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.3% Up to 20 sessions
GNRCSPY benchmark

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What changed

The latest analysis shifted the emphasis toward stronger C&I execution, a larger data-center opportunity and improved margin guidance. It also added clearer evidence of pressure from a contracting residential solar market and large-bore engine supply constraints.

Guidance delta

Management raised the low end of FY2025 EBITDA margin guidance while narrowing net-sales growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales beat expectations, with residential and C&I segments both posting double-digit growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 17.7%, and the lower end of FY2025 margin guidance increased.
  • A data-center megawatt-generator backlog above $150 million supports a potentially meaningful growth driver.
  • Ecobee and energy storage are scaling profitably, while residential solar faces a downturn.
  • Tariffs, lower outage-driven demand and large-bore engine constraints remain important risks.

Management priorities

  • Launch the next-generation home standby generator line in H2.
  • Expand megawatt-generator capacity, including potential facilities for 2026-2027.
  • Begin commercial shipments of PWRcell 2 and continue energy-storage expansion.
  • Build the dealer and aligned-contractor network for home standby products.
  • Manage pricing and tariffs to protect margins.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GNRC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $885M Q1 '24 actual $889M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1,000M Q2 '24 actual $998M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy38 ratings
Bullish2873.7%
Neutral1026.3%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$216.8Current
$75Low
$267.97Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 17, 2026
Roth Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $216.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausStephen Gengaro$290$212.22 +33.8%Sep 30, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$280$207.23 +29.2%Sep 17, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$250$209.81 +15.3%Sep 17, 2026
Raymond JamesTanner James$286$175.11 +31.9%Sep 17, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$375$175.11 +73.0%Sep 17, 2026
See 66 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Generac Holdings Inc. specializes in the engineering, manufacturing, and global distribution of diverse power generation systems, energy storage solutions, and related electrical products. The company caters to residential users, light commercial enterprises, and industrial sectors worldwide. At its core, Generac produces vital components such as engines, alternators, batteries, advanced electronic controls, and robust steel enclosures. For homeowners, the company provides a range of automatic standby generators, from 7.5kW up to 150kW, including air-cooled models (7.5kW-26kW) and more powerful liquid-cooled units (22kW-150kW). Many of these residential systems are compatible with Mobile Link, a remote monitoring platform. Generac also offers portable generators, spanning outputs from 800W to 17.5kW, alongside an extensive catalog of outdoor power equipment like trimmers, mowers, log splitters, and pressure washers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T20:40:44.503825+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T20:40:44.501052+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.