Corning Inc · GLW · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Corning raises growth targets as optical demand accelerates

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient optical demand, the Meta agreement and higher growth targets strengthen Corning's growth case, while capacity execution and solar-related margin pressure remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $130.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.72 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.41B Consensus $4.36B
Revenue surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.0% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -5.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +44.1% Up to 20 sessions
GLWSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management increased its SpringBoard target from $8 billion to $11 billion of incremental annualized sales by 2028, highlighted the Meta agreement, and set 2026 capital expenditure at $1.7 billion. The emphasis shifted further toward scaling optical capacity while the solar business continues to weigh on margins.

Guidance delta

Management raised its SpringBoard target to $11 billion of incremental annualized sales by 2028, from $8 billion previously, and guided to 15% sales growth for Q1 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported Q4 2025 sales up 14% year over year and EPS up 26%, with operating margin at 20.2%.
  • Optical communications growth is supported by GenAI demand and a multiyear agreement with Meta of up to $6 billion.
  • The 2026 capital plan is $1.7 billion, focused heavily on optical capacity and the solar ramp.
  • The solar business remains a profitability drag until it reaches scale.

Management priorities

  • Scale optical capacity in North Carolina and Kentucky
  • Invest $1.7 billion of 2026 capital expenditure, focused on optical communications
  • Ramp solar manufacturing toward $2.5 billion of revenue by 2028

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GLW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q2 '27 estimate $5B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish2156.8%
Neutral1437.8%
Bearish25.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$157.88Current
$45Low
$139.91Average
$243High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy HoldUpgradeAug 3, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $157.88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$180$143.5 +14.0%Sep 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$175$138.25 +10.8%Aug 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$165$125.88 +4.5%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$210$125.88 +33.0%Jul 29, 2026
UBSJoshua Spector$196$125.88 +24.1%Jul 29, 2026
See 70 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Corning Incorporated operates in optical communications, display, specialty materials, automotive, and life sciences businesses in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Taiwan, China, South Korea, Germany, and internationally. The company provides optical fibers and cables; and hardware and equipment products, such as cable assemblies, fiber optic hardware and connectors, optical components and couplers, closures, network interface devices, and other accessories for the telecommunications industry, businesses, governments, and individuals. It also offers glass substrates for flat panel displays, including liquid crystal displays and organic light-emitting diodes that are used in televisions, notebook computers, desktop monitors, tablets, and handheld devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T16:11:01.657416+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T16:11:01.654737+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.