Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold20 ratings
Bullish630.0%
Neutral1470.0%
Bearish00.0%
Graco Inc. · GGG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Graco posts record Q2 sales as backlog and new products support growth
The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view of Graco's growth trajectory: record sales, backlog growth, margin expansion and product launches point to resilient demand, while powder-finishing timing, China activity and the transition to quarterly guidance require monitoring.
Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials
$11.22B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$0.91
Consensus $0.81
EPS surprise
+12.6%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$590.6M
Consensus $608.1M
Revenue surprise
-2.9%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
+5.2%
Event window
SPY move
-1.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
+6.5%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.0×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+5.1%
Up to 20 sessions
GGGSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about GGG FY2026 Q2
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did GGG rise 5.2% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?What changed in GGG's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q2?Give me the bull and bear case for GGG after FY2026 Q2 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, Graco moved from modest overall sales growth with declining organic revenue to record Q2 sales, stronger organic growth across key markets and a 28% backlog increase. It also introduced quarterly sales guidance and announced the VELCRO Meltan acquisition, while maintaining its full-year outlook.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its full-year outlook and introduced Q3 revenue guidance of $580–$600 million, excluding the acquisition.
Key takeaways
- Record Q2 sales of $591 million and 14% earnings growth were accompanied by margin expansion.
- Backlog increased 28%, while contractor, industrial and expansion markets showed strong organic growth.
- VELCRO Meltan expands the packaging-dispense offering; management also highlighted new QuickShot, ProReach and autonomous striping products.
- The quarter included $9 million of tariff refunds affecting gross margin, while powder-finishing timing and China activity remained watch points.
Management priorities
- Continue product innovation and use new products to support contractor growth.
- Leverage VELCRO Meltan to expand the packaging-dispense business.
- Pursue strategic M&A and invest in facility expansions and digital capabilities for the industrial channel.
- Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including dividends and share repurchases.
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Miss
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
$69.28Previous close
$77Low
$90.17Average
$100High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 10, 2023 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 9, 2022 |
| William Blair | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Dec 2, 2021 |
| B. Riley FBR | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 5, 2018 |
| B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 31, 2018 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 23, 2018 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 1, 2017 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 1, 2017 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 14, 2016 |
| Sidoti & Co. | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 4, 2016 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Apr 24, 2015 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Oct 13, 2014 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 15, 2013 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 15, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $69.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $96 | $79.58 | +38.6% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $77.75 | +35.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $92 | $75.5 | +32.8% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $95 | $81.7 | +37.1% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $82.18 | +32.8% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $87.4 | +44.3% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $100 | $87.65 | +44.3% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $96 | $87.65 | +38.6% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $89 | $81.67 | +28.5% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Matt Summerville | $85 | $84.17 | +22.7% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $97 | $83.74 | +40.0% | Jan 3, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $103 | $79.04 | +48.7% | Jun 27, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $110 | $91.19 | +58.8% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $69.48 | +11.1% | Nov 14, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $79 | $63.27 | +14.0% | Apr 29, 2022 |
Track every rating change on GGG the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGraco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems for applying polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings. This division also supplies machinery for the precise pumping, metering, mixing, and dispensing of sealants, adhesives, and composite materials. Further offerings include gel-coat equipment, chop and wet-out systems, resin transfer molding solutions, various applicators, and advanced precision dispensing tools. The segment's portfolio also encompasses liquid finishing equipment, paint circulation and supply pumps, sophisticated paint circulating control systems, and plural component coating proportioners.…
Historical context
All GGG earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.6% | +3.1% | Norfolk Southern posts strong Q3 as capex outlook rises |
| POOL Pool Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.2% | +14.4% | POOL: Q3 growth held up as freight costs pressured margins |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.7% | +3.6% | Union Pacific Posts Record Q3 as Volumes and Productivity Improve |
| DOV Dover Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.1% | -2.2% | Dover Q3: Backlog and secular demand support upper-end outlook |
| ALLE Allegion plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.0% | +11.0% | Allegion raises outlook as Americas growth powers Q3 |
| R Ryder System, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.3% | +10.5% | Ryder raises 2026 outlook as asset-light growth gains traction |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- NSCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+4.6% EPS+3.1% move
- POOLFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+1.2% EPS+14.4% move
- UNPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+1.7% EPS+3.6% move
- PGFY2027 Q1 · October 22, 2026+6.4% EPS+5.6% move
- CMCSAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+8.5% EPS+3.4% move
- CRSFY2027 Q1 · October 22, 2026+6.9% EPS-20.6% move
Missed on EPS
- PCGFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-0.8% EPS-1.3% move
- PHMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-4.5% EPS+5.8% move
- HBANLFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
- BCSFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-1.5% EPS-2.6% move
- SSBFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-4.2% EPS+2.4% move
- ROLFY2026 Q3 · October 21, 2026-1.4% EPS+5.6% move
Get the GGG recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T17:03:37.360483+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T05:00:41.354966+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T05:00:41.352093+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.