Graco Inc. · GGG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Graco Maintains Guidance as Tariffs Pressure Margins

Graco’s current setup is mixed: acquisitions and operating initiatives support the portfolio, but organic revenue declined and tariffs and contractor weakness pressured margins. The near-term case depends on price realization, new products, and execution of integration and consolidation plans.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $10.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.75 Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise -5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $571.8M Consensus $590.8M
Revenue surprise -3.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -2.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.2% Up to 20 sessions
GGGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the business showed a clearer margin challenge: current-quarter organic revenue declined 3% and tariffs and lower factory volume pressured profitability. Management added a targeted September price increase, highlighted the Color Service acquisition, and continued to frame the second half as stronger while maintaining guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its low-single-digit organic revenue growth guidance for 2025.

Key takeaways

  • Sales grew 3% overall, while organic revenue declined 3% after acquisitions.
  • Tariffs, lower factory volume, and softer North American construction pressured margins.
  • Management plans targeted price increases, new products, and operational savings to support the second half.
  • Color Service expands Graco’s industrial dosing capabilities.

Management priorities

  • Implement targeted price increases beginning in September.
  • Launch new products in the second half of the year.
  • Close and integrate the Color Service acquisition.
  • Continue One Graco integration and production consolidation to improve costs and inventory.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GGG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.79 Q4 '23 actual $0.80, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.74 Q1 '24 actual $0.65, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.76 Q2 '24 actual $0.76, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.76 Q3 '24 actual $0.71, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.79 Q2 '25 actual $0.75, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.73, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.77 Q4 '25 actual $0.77, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.74 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.81 Q2 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.83 Q4 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '27 estimate $0.78
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold21 ratings
Bullish733.3%
Neutral1466.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$66.99Current
$77Low
$87Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 24, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $66.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalJeffrey Reive$82$66.83 +22.4%Oct 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$80$69.28 +19.4%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$96$79.58 +43.3%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$94$77.75 +40.3%Jul 24, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$92$75.5 +37.3%Jul 16, 2026
See 12 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Graco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems for applying polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings. This division also supplies machinery for the precise pumping, metering, mixing, and dispensing of sealants, adhesives, and composite materials. Further offerings include gel-coat equipment, chop and wet-out systems, resin transfer molding solutions, various applicators, and advanced precision dispensing tools. The segment's portfolio also encompasses liquid finishing equipment, paint circulation and supply pumps, sophisticated paint circulating control systems, and plural component coating proportioners.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T05:10:40.917330+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T05:10:40.914613+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.