Gold Fields Limited · GFI · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024
Gold Fields lowers guidance as Salares Norte restart and Windfall shape the outlook
The supplied analysis supports a mixed outlook: a stronger second half could improve operations, but the case depends on execution at Salares Norte and other mines, cost control, safety progress, and regulatory approvals.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, management's guidance sentiment moved from maintained to lowered after first-half production weakness. The current analysis also emphasizes full ownership of Windfall through the Osisko acquisition, Salares Norte's restart, and an increasing capital-expenditure outlook.
Guidance delta
2024 guidance was lowered after first-half production fell, while management expected a stronger second half.
Key takeaways
- First-half production weakness led to a 150,000-ounce reduction in 2024 guidance.
- Management highlighted Salares Norte's restart, asset recovery plans, and renewable projects as second-half supports.
- The Osisko acquisition gives Gold Fields full ownership of the Windfall project.
- Safety, execution, costs, and regulatory approvals remain central risks.
Management priorities
- Restart and ramp Salares Norte.
- Execute recovery plans across key operating assets.
- Integrate and develop the Windfall project.
- Advance safety improvements, renewable projects, and the Tarkwa/Iduapriem JV.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 26, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 25, 2025 |
| HSBC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 12, 2021 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 13, 2018 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 13, 2018 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 15, 2016 |
| Scotia Howard Weil | Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 31, 2015 |
| UBS | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | May 13, 2015 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Feb 18, 2014 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2013 |
| CIBC | Sector Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 3, 2013 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 17, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $36.82. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $33.13 | +41.2% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $49 | $33.8 | +33.1% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Analyst unavailable | $57.25 | $43.96 | +55.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $57.59 | +65.7% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Josh Wolfson | $45 | $39.15 | +22.2% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $40.9 | +27.6% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $41 | +5.9% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Capital One Financial | Analyst unavailable | $32 | $31.12 | -13.1% | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Tanya Jakusconek | $18 | $16.84 | -51.1% | Aug 19, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Raj Ray | $14 | $15.16 | -62.0% | Jun 26, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Tanya Jakusconek | $17 | $13.28 | -53.8% | Jun 14, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Andrew Kaip | $13.5 | $13.88 | -63.3% | Jun 13, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGold Fields Limited is a prominent global gold mining enterprise, holding significant reserves and resources across diverse regions including Chile, South Africa, Ghana, West Africa, Australia, and Peru. Beyond its primary focus on gold, the company also engages in the exploration of copper deposits. It manages a portfolio of nine operational mines, collectively producing an estimated 2.34 million gold-equivalent ounces each year. The firm's substantial gold holdings include approximately 48.6 million ounces in mineral reserves and an impressive 111.8 million ounces in mineral resources. Established in 1887, Gold Fields Limited is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.
Historical context
All GFI earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPM RPM International Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.5% | +3.2% | RPM posts record quarter, but input costs narrow the outlook |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T07:50:40.316261+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T07:50:40.313304+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.