General Dynamics Corporation · GD · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024
G700 delays lower guidance as General Dynamics grows across segments
General Dynamics showed broad-based demand and strong cash generation, but G700 delivery disruptions and Marine Systems execution issues lowered the near-term earnings outlook. The key question is whether delivery cadence and shipyard productivity improve enough to restore margin momentum.
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What changed
The quarter added evidence of strong demand across Combat Systems, Marine Systems and technology services, while revealing a larger-than-expected G700 delivery shortfall. Management lowered FY2024 EPS guidance to about $14 and outlined a 27-aircraft Q4 delivery plan.
Guidance delta
FY2024 EPS guidance was lowered to about $14, while revenue guidance remained about $48 billion; the analysis says the EPS outlook was about $0.45 below prior expectations.
Key takeaways
- Q3 revenue and earnings grew double digits, with revenue of $11.67 billion and EPS of $3.35.
- Only four G700 aircraft were delivered in Q3 versus a planned 15, due to certification, supplier and weather disruptions.
- Marine Systems revenue grew 20%, but out-of-sequence work and supply-chain constraints continued to pressure margins.
- Combat Systems retained solid margins and an $18 billion backlog, while free cash flow exceeded 100% of net income for the quarter.
Management priorities
- Deliver 27 G700 aircraft in Q4.
- Introduce the G800 platform and pursue its expected margin benefits.
- Improve shipyard productivity and align supply-chain cadence.
- Expand digital accelerator offerings within GDIT.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 8, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2025 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Alembic Global | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Jan 29, 2024 |
| Berenberg | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 26, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 29, 2021 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 30, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 12, 2020 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 31, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 26, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 25, 2018 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 28, 2016 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 30, 2015 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 13, 2014 |
| CRT Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 24, 2014 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 22, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $343.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $360 | $337.48 | +4.9% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $365 | $332.42 | +6.4% | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $407 | $343.39 | +18.6% | Sep 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $408 | $359.39 | +18.9% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $421 | $397.12 | +22.7% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $395 | $384.52 | +15.1% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $465 | $380.54 | +35.5% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $410 | $375.83 | +19.5% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $384 | $376.61 | +11.9% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $430 | $376 | +25.3% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $440 | $373.48 | +28.3% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $341.07 | +16.6% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $435 | $341.05 | +26.8% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $371 | $338.73 | +8.1% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $385 | $351.09 | +12.2% | Feb 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $393 | $356.68 | +14.6% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Richard Safran | $444 | $365.4 | +29.4% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $364.17 | +22.4% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $388 | $363.06 | +13.1% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $398 | $356.92 | +16.0% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $408 | $340.6 | +18.9% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $388 | $351.22 | +13.1% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $385 | $347.48 | +12.2% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $390 | $352.76 | +13.7% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $381 | $350.77 | +11.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $406 | $350.77 | +18.4% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Vertical Research | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $350.77 | +16.6% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $336.87 | +4.9% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $343.43 | +16.6% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $376 | $330.34 | +9.6% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $314 | $304.85 | -8.5% | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $325 | $299.94 | -5.3% | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $295 | $270.61 | -14.0% | May 6, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $305 | $276.63 | -11.1% | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $315 | $276.04 | -8.2% | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $261 | $271.56 | -23.9% | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $285 | $257.43 | -16.9% | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $345 | $301.75 | +0.6% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Michael Eisen | $330 | $304.4 | -3.8% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $314 | $301.11 | -8.5% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $345 | $290.8 | +0.6% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $325 | $289.49 | -5.3% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $320 | $289.88 | -6.7% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Matthew Akers | $334 | $284.67 | -2.6% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $345 | $294.46 | +0.6% | Jul 24, 2024 |
| CFRA | Stewart Glickman | $330 | $298.01 | -3.8% | May 22, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $310 | $289.09 | -9.6% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $335 | $287.79 | -2.3% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Michael Eisen | $320 | $281.11 | -6.7% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $310 | $287.87 | -9.6% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $324 | $293.33 | -5.6% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Michael Eisen | $325 | $291.55 | -5.3% | Apr 2, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $305 | $289.56 | -11.1% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Myles Walton | $325 | $282.49 | -5.3% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $270 | $233 | -21.3% | Oct 25, 2023 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $220 | $214.83 | -35.9% | Apr 27, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $298 | $248 | -13.1% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $249 | $217.32 | -27.4% | Sep 28, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $275 | $231.05 | -19.8% | Aug 30, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $256 | $219.85 | -25.4% | Jul 28, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $285 | $236.53 | -16.9% | Apr 30, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Matthew Akers | $282 | $233.83 | -17.8% | Mar 14, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Matthew Akers | $235 | $213.1 | -31.5% | Jan 15, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $240 | $200.42 | -30.0% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Noah Poponak | $176 | $193.46 | -48.7% | Sep 23, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Robert Spingarn | $198 | $194.83 | -42.3% | Jul 29, 2021 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $225 | $190.35 | -34.4% | May 7, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGeneral Dynamics Corporation is a global leader in the aerospace and defense industry, with its operations structured across four key divisions: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment focuses on the design, production, and sale of business jets, alongside offering a full suite of aviation services including aircraft maintenance, repair, management, charter services, and ground support. Marine Systems specializes in shipbuilding for the U.S. Navy, constructing nuclear-powered submarines, surface warships, and auxiliary vessels. This division also builds various commercial ships, such as tankers and cargo carriers. Furthermore, it provides extensive maintenance, modernization, and lifecycle support, along with engineering and design services for both naval and commercial fleets.…
Historical context
All GD earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
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| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.6% | -2.0% | J.B. Hunt: Strong demand, but margin repair remains central |
| FAST Fastenal Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.3% | +1.1% | Fastenal Q3: Share Gains and Digital Adoption Lift Growth |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T18:10:42.555658+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T18:10:42.552877+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.