Fortive Corporation · FTV · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Fortive reports strong Q4 with AI, recurring revenue and new products in focus

The current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: Fortive paired stronger Q4 execution with raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, while new products, AI-enabled software and recurring revenue provide the main avenues for continued growth. The thesis is conditional on managing tariff, healthcare and industrial-demand risks.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $16.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.90 Consensus $0.84
EPS surprise +7.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.12B Consensus $1.09B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +10.6% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +11.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.5% Up to 20 sessions
FTVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Fortive moved from the prior quarter's raised outlook and innovation focus to a reported Q4 with more than 3% core growth, 8% adjusted EBITDA growth, 13% adjusted EPS growth and a new 2026 adjusted EPS range of $2.90-$3.00. The company also highlighted additional product releases and continued recurring-revenue acceleration.

Guidance delta

Management raised the outlook: 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $2.90-$3.00, following full-year 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.71.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 core revenue grew more than 3%, adjusted EBITDA rose 8%, and adjusted EPS increased 13%.
  • Management highlighted Fluke Certified Max and new AI-enabled ServiceChannel features as product catalysts.
  • Recurring-revenue expansion and targeted investments in data centers, defense, EMEA and India remain central to the growth plan.
  • Capital allocation stayed active, including $1.3 billion of share repurchases in the last two quarters.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Fortive Accelerator strategy
  • Launch new products and expand AI-enabled software features
  • Expand recurring revenue in maintenance software and SaaS
  • Pursue selective bolt-on acquisitions with strict return criteria
  • Invest in sales and operating capacity in high-growth regions

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.80 Q1 '24 actual $0.83, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.93, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.97, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.58, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.57 Q3 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.84 Q4 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.64 Q1 '26 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.70 Q4 '26 estimate $0.87 Q1 '27 estimate $0.75 Q2 '27 estimate $0.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1136.7%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish26.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.76Current
$40Low
$71.07Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 3, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 4, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$67$61.8 +20.2%Jul 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$59$60.59 +5.8%Jun 3, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$68$60.79 +22.0%May 11, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$61$60.73 +9.4%May 4, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$56$60.38 +0.4%Apr 20, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fortive Corporation is a global industrial technology company that specializes in the conception, development, manufacturing, marketing, and servicing of sophisticated professional and engineered products, as well as software platforms and associated services. Its Intelligent Operating Solutions division aims to boost efficiency and safety in operations. This segment delivers a variety of offerings, including advanced tools for ensuring equipment reliability, comprehensive enterprise software for managing environmental, health, safety, and quality (EHSQ) compliance, and specialized software for the entire lifecycle of facilities and assets. It also provides solutions for pre-construction planning and procurement, robust professional testing instruments, precise calibration tools for electrical, pressure, and temperature measurements, and portable devices for gas detection.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:11:00.012909+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:11:00.008758+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.