Fox Corporation · FOX · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

Fox pairs record fiscal Q2 with Tubi and D2C ambitions

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: advertising strength, Tubi growth, and sports and news engagement provide evidence of resilient demand, while the D2C launch, subscriber trends, cash-flow deficit, and sports-rights costs remain unresolved tests.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $26.02B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.61
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
FOXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes a record fiscal Q2, a planned year-end D2C launch, Tubi’s first Super Bowl live stream, and the cancellation of the Venu joint venture. The core advertising, sports, news, and Tubi growth themes remain in place.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis describes management’s outlook as maintained and does not identify an adverse guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes record fiscal Q2 performance, with EBITDA more than doubling year over year and revenue up 20%.
  • Advertising momentum was attributed to political ads, sports, and Tubi growth, while Fox News posted record ratings and digital viewership.
  • The planned D2C launch and Tubi’s Super Bowl stream are the main new growth initiatives, but execution and cash-flow timing remain watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Launch the direct-to-consumer streaming offering by calendar year-end.
  • Expand Tubi content and ad inventory while reducing digital spend.
  • Continue pursuing sports-betting licensing in 26 states and return capital through buybacks and dividends.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FOX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 actual $4B, None Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, match Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q3 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold42 ratings
Bullish1842.9%
Neutral2047.6%
Bearish49.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$58.33Previous close
$36Low
$72.77Average
$97High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 14, 2026
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 8, 2023
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2023
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $58.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Fox AdvisorsJessica Reif Ehrlich$85$57.14 +45.7%Oct 16, 2026
Fox AdvisorsAnalyst unavailable$95$58.45 +62.9%Sep 14, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$93$60.39 +59.4%Aug 20, 2026
Wells FargoSteven Cahall$80$58.1 +37.2%Aug 14, 2026
Redburn PartnersHamilton Faber$71$48.44 +21.7%Jul 10, 2026
See 10 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fox Corporation is a prominent media conglomerate primarily focused on news, sports, and entertainment operations within the United States. Its business is structured across three main divisions: Cable Network Programming; Television; and a segment encompassing Other, Corporate, and Eliminations. The Cable Network Programming division is responsible for creating and licensing news, business news, and sports content. This content is then disseminated across the U.S. through both traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs), as well as various other digital platforms. This segment's extensive portfolio includes well-known national cable channels such as FOX News (for general news) and FOX Business (for financial news), multi-sport networks FS1 and FS2, FOX Sports Racing (dedicated to motorsports), FOX Soccer Plus (featuring live soccer and rugby), FOX Deportes (a Spanish-language sports service), and the Big Ten Network.…

Historical context

All FOX earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-21T00:01:13.267231+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T08:20:41.007649+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T08:20:41.004551+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.