Fabrinet · FN · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025

Fabrinet posts record revenue as telecom and DCI growth offset datacom constraints

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional read: record revenue, telecom and DCI momentum, AWS and HPC opportunities, and planned capacity expansion support the growth case, while component shortages, margin pressure, capex, and customer concentration are material offsets.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $17.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.65 Consensus $2.64
EPS surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $909.7M Consensus $883.1M
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -12.8% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -12.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +25.6% Up to 20 sessions
FNSPY benchmark

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What changed

Fabrinet moved from the prior quarter's expectation of a later 1.6-terabit ramp and planned capacity expansion to a record Q4, stronger telecom and DCI contribution, explicit component shortages affecting datacom, a new HPC reporting category, and Q1 FY26 guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained a confident outlook and provided Q1 FY26 guidance of $910 million to $950 million in revenue and $2.75 to $2.90 in EPS, with gross margin targeted in the mid-50% range.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue reached a record $910 million, up 21% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $2.65.
  • Telecom revenue rose 46% year over year, with data center interconnect a distinct growth segment.
  • Demand for 1.6-terabit datacom products was strong, but component shortages are expected to weigh on the near term.
  • AWS, high-performance computing, and Building 10 capacity expansion are central to the FY26 plan.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate partial completion of Building 10 to meet demand.
  • Ramp the new telecom system and high-performance computing programs.
  • Expand data center interconnect and 1.6-terabit transceiver offerings.
  • Address component supply constraints affecting datacom.
  • Maintain the share repurchase program, with $174 million allocated for FY26.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.11 Q3 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.25 Q4 '24 actual $2.41, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.38 Q1 '25 actual $2.39, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.64 Q4 '25 actual $2.65, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.82 Q1 '26 actual $2.92, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.26 Q2 '26 actual $3.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.56 Q3 '26 actual $3.72, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.81 Q1 '27 estimate $4.19 Q2 '27 estimate $4.21 Q3 '27 estimate $4.41

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1875.0%
Neutral625.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$486.28Current
$100Low
$348.67Average
$800High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 3, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $486.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$739$598.58 +52.0%Aug 18, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$702$717.8 +44.4%May 5, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$800$684.33 +64.5%Apr 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$540$457.98 +11.0%Feb 4, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$548$499.61 +12.7%Feb 3, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T11:00:45.214242+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T11:00:45.210499+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.