Fabrinet · FN · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Fabrinet: Telecom Strength Offsets Datacom Transition in FY2025 Q3

Fabrinet's quarter supports a constructive operating trajectory: telecom growth, 400ZR demand, the AWS partnership and planned capacity expansion offset near-term datacom-transition and margin risks. The thesis remains dependent on execution of the 1.6T ramp.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $13.03B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.56
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $857.7M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.2% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.6% Up to 20 sessions
FNSPY benchmark

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What changed

Telecom strength continued and reached a record level, while datacom declined during a product transition. Fabrinet added a multi-year AWS advanced-manufacturing partnership, kept its outlook, and highlighted Building 10 and the 1.6T ramp as capacity and growth priorities.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and provided Q4 FY2025 guidance of $860–$900 million in revenue and $2.55–$2.70 in EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Telecom revenue reached a record $406 million, while telecom growth and 400ZR demand drove the quarter.
  • Datacom revenue declined during a product transition; management expects a larger 1.6T ramp later in FY2026.
  • A multi-year AWS advanced-manufacturing partnership adds a new growth avenue, while Building 10 expands capacity.
  • Short-term risks include startup costs, FX, tariffs, inventory-transition risk and uncertainty around the 1.6T ramp.

Management priorities

  • Ramp 1.6T transceivers in FY2026
  • Expand telecom through new wins and ZR product lines
  • Advance the AWS manufacturing partnership
  • Complete Building 10 capacity expansion
  • Develop automotive and industrial laser offerings

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.11 Q3 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.25 Q4 '24 actual $2.41, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.38 Q1 '25 actual $2.39, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.64 Q4 '25 actual $2.65, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.82 Q1 '26 actual $2.92, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.26 Q2 '26 actual $3.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.56 Q3 '26 actual $3.72, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.81 Q1 '27 estimate $4.19 Q2 '27 estimate $4.21 Q3 '27 estimate $4.41

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1875.0%
Neutral625.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$363.51Current
$100Low
$348.67Average
$800High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJan 22, 2026
Northland Capital Markets Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMar 21, 2024
Lake Street Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2023
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMar 1, 2023
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2022
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2021
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainFeb 2, 2021
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 2, 2021
Northland Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 30, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2019
TD Securities Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 27, 2019
William O'Neil & Co Buy BuyMaintainNov 9, 2018
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2017
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 4, 2016
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 4, 2016
Northland Securities Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2015
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMay 4, 2015
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $363.51. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$739$598.58 +103.3%Aug 18, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$702$717.8 +93.1%May 5, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$800$684.33 +120.1%Apr 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$540$457.98 +48.6%Feb 4, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$548$499.61 +50.8%Feb 3, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$570$488.36 +56.8%Jan 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$537$489 +47.7%Jan 14, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$600$479.51 +65.1%Dec 22, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$499$459.6 +37.3%Nov 5, 2025
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$550$473.16 +51.3%Nov 4, 2025
BarclaysTim Long$329$327.12 -9.5%Aug 19, 2025
BarclaysGeorge Wang$234$220.9 -35.6%May 6, 2025
NeedhamRyan Koontz$280$230.1 -23.0%Nov 5, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$260$188.83 -28.5%May 7, 2024
NeedhamAlex Henderson$220$197.14 -39.5%Mar 22, 2024
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$220$206.8 -39.5%Mar 21, 2024
Lake StreetTroy Jensen$130$117.8 -64.2%Aug 21, 2023
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$155$121.61 -57.4%Feb 7, 2023
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$150$132.06 -58.7%Feb 7, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$156$127.61 -57.1%Dec 20, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsFahad Najam$129$100.73 -64.5%Apr 28, 2022
B.Riley FinancialDave Kang$100$101.47 -72.5%Feb 2, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-21T00:03:31.337707+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T00:10:41.987156+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T00:10:41.984312+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.