Comfort Systems USA, Inc. · FIX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Comfort Systems USA beats estimates; current-quarter analysis is limited

The supplied facts confirm an earnings beat, but they do not provide enough current-quarter transcript analysis to test whether earnings growth and demand remain durable. The prior-quarter evidence was constructive on backlog and data-center demand, with execution and regulatory risks still relevant.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $57.16B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $12.53 Consensus $10.45
EPS surprise +19.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.27B Consensus $2.99B
Revenue surprise +9.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.3% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -5.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.5% Up to 20 sessions
FIXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied current-quarter scorecard shows EPS and revenue above estimates, and the stock underperformed the benchmark over the stated reaction window. A current-quarter transcript analysis was not available, so management's updated narrative and guidance changes remain missing.

Guidance delta

Not available in the supplied current-quarter analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Reported EPS and revenue exceeded the supplied estimates.
  • The market reaction was negative over the stated reaction window, while the supplied current-quarter transcript analysis is unavailable.
  • Prior-quarter analysis highlighted strong backlog, data-center demand and capacity expansion, alongside labor, cost and regulatory risks.

Management priorities

  • Prior-quarter priorities included expanding modular capacity, maintaining disciplined project selection and growing service and maintenance revenue.
  • Current-quarter management priorities are not available in the supplied analysis.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FIX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.20 Q4 '23 actual $2.55, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.01 Q1 '24 actual $2.69, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.14 Q2 '24 actual $3.74, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.97 Q3 '24 actual $4.09, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.84 Q2 '25 actual $6.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.29 Q3 '25 actual $8.25, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6.75 Q4 '25 actual $9.37, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6.81 Q1 '26 actual $10.51, beat Q2 '26 estimate $10.45 Q2 '26 actual $12.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12.81 Q4 '26 estimate $13.14 Q1 '27 estimate $12.42 Q2 '27 estimate $14.46
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy8 ratings
Bullish562.5%
Neutral337.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,625.9Current
$1,140Low
$1,915.44Average
$2,200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainFeb 23, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJan 26, 2026
Sidoti & Co. Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 2, 2020
Show 3 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,625.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,672.94 +29.2%Aug 20, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrian Brophy$1,910$1,730.11 +17.5%Jul 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$2,225$1,728.2 +36.8%Jul 27, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$2,110$1,733.6 +29.8%Jul 27, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$2,159$1,684.94 +32.8%Jul 9, 2026
See 16 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and controls, off-site construction, monitoring, and fire protection.…

Historical context

All FIX earnings

Industrials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T23:41:02.772547+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T22:40:56.030385+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T22:40:56.027022+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.