Five Below, Inc. · FIVE · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Five Below: strong Q3 growth, higher FY2025 outlook

The supplied evidence supports a constructive near-term growth thesis: Five Below combined strong comparable sales, store expansion, higher price points, licensing, and creator-led marketing with raised FY2025 guidance. The thesis is not yet fully de-risked because management and the prior analysis identify tariff, inventory, margin, competition, and holiday-demand uncertainties.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $11.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.68 Consensus $0.25
EPS surprise +173.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.04B Consensus $981.0M
Revenue surprise +5.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.2% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.8% Up to 20 sessions
FIVESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows another strong sales quarter, a larger store footprint, continued emphasis on expanded price points and licensing, and a higher FY2025 outlook. Management also highlighted a shift toward creator-produced social content, integration of higher-priced items into the main assortment, and inventory acceleration to address trade-environment risk.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 guidance to $4.62-$4.65 billion of sales, $5.8 adjusted EPS, and approximately 8.9% operating margin.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 net sales exceeded $1 billion, up 23% year over year, with comparable sales growth above 14%.
  • Management attributed momentum to transactions and ticket, expanded price points, licensing, social and creator-led marketing, and new stores.
  • The company added 49 net new stores in Q3, taking the footprint above 1,900 locations, and raised its FY2025 outlook.
  • Inventory acceleration is intended to mitigate trade-environment risk, but could increase cash-flow and shrink exposure if demand weakens.

Management priorities

  • Continue the approximately 150-net-new-store FY2025 rollout and improve the in-store experience.
  • Expand licensing, exclusive assortments, and integrated $7-$15 price-point offerings.
  • Invest in digital-first marketing, creator content, AI-driven inventory management, and omnichannel capabilities.
  • Optimize inventory and manage tariff and trade-environment exposure ahead of the holiday season.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FIVE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $834M Q1 '25 actual $812M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $822M Q2 '25 actual $830M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $967M Q1 '26 actual $971M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $995M Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $981M Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q3 '27 estimate $1B Q4 '27 estimate $2B Q1 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy48 ratings
Bullish3062.5%
Neutral1837.5%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$215.32Current
$89Low
$243.76Average
$420High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $215.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$250$228 +16.1%Sep 29, 2026
Goldman SachsKate McShane$306$222.38 +42.1%Sep 25, 2026
Craig-HallumAnalyst unavailable$325$244.25 +50.9%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$297$241.65 +37.9%Sep 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$420$241.86 +95.1%Sep 3, 2026
See 129 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Five Below, Inc. operates as a prominent specialty discount retailer primarily serving the United States market. The company's diverse inventory spans a wide array of personal accessories, from fashionable novelty socks, sunglasses, and jewelry to scarves, gloves, hair accessories, and athletic apparel like tops, bottoms, and t-shirts. Shoppers can also find a comprehensive selection of beauty products, including nail polish, lip gloss, fragrances, and various branded cosmetics. For home and personal spaces, Five Below provides an assortment of items such as lamps, posters, picture frames, cozy fleece blankets, plush toys, pillows, candles, incense, and diverse lighting and novelty décor. This section also includes accent furniture and practical storage solutions. Athletic and recreational interests are covered with sports balls, team merchandise, and fitness essentials like hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T12:20:47.006591+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T12:20:47.003629+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.