Fiserv, Inc. · FISV · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Fiserv: Clover Growth Holds Despite Fee Headwinds

The quarter supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: Clover growth and digital-payments volume were resilient, while management maintained its guidance framework and emphasized disciplined capital allocation. The counterweight is that fee changes, macro exposure, FX, and execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $24.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.99 Consensus $1.90
EPS surprise +4.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.90B Consensus $4.90B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.5% Up to 20 sessions
FISVSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, guidance sentiment moved from lowered to maintained, capex outlook shifted from increasing to stable, and the narrative centered more clearly on Clover's 12% growth, digital-payments volume, AI deployment, and capital discipline.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2026 guidance framework; Clover is targeting low-double-digit growth despite a two-point fee-elimination headwind.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 adjusted revenue was flat at $4.9 billion, while adjusted EPS of $1.99 exceeded guidance.
  • Clover revenue grew 12% year over year despite fee-elimination pressure; management is targeting low-double-digit growth for 2026.
  • Digital-payments volume, AI deployment, core modernization, and stablecoin services remain central strategic themes.
  • Capital allocation was described as disciplined, with flat capex, $200 million of repurchases, and $1 billion of debt paydown.

Management priorities

  • Expand Clover distribution and vertical offerings, including healthcare and professional services.
  • Continue enterprise AI deployment and core modernization across Finxact and DNA.
  • Develop stablecoin custody and cash-management capabilities while expanding international distribution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FISV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $5B, None Q3 '24 actual $5B, None Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, match Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy59 ratings
Bullish3355.9%
Neutral2644.1%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$46.02Current
$46Low
$126.35Average
$244High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 3, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 31, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $46.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialMatthew Coad$53$51.5 +15.2%Aug 20, 2026
Goldman SachsWill Nance$54$52.01 +17.3%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$59$51.94 +28.2%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$60$51.96 +30.4%Aug 7, 2026
RBC CapitalDaniel Perlin$65$52.14 +41.2%Aug 7, 2026
See 110 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fiserv, Inc. is a global provider of technology solutions for payments and financial services. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: Acceptance, Fintech, and Payments. The Acceptance segment enables businesses to process transactions at the point of sale and through digital channels, offering mobile payment capabilities and robust security and fraud prevention tools. Key offerings include Carat, its omnichannel commerce platform; Clover, a cloud-native platform for point-of-sale and business management; and Clover Connect, designed for independent software vendors. This segment reaches clients via diverse distribution channels, including direct sales, agent networks, ISVs, and financial institution partnerships.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T22:20:58.897238+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T22:20:58.894437+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.