Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. · FIS · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

FIS Raises Outlook as AI, Payments and Issuer Data Drive Strategy

The current analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: FIS is positioning AI, payments, issuer data, and recurring revenue as durable growth drivers, while the raised outlook provides evidence of near-term confidence. The main counterpoints are integration risk, possible AI disruption to core services, and uncertainty around margin and cash-flow delivery.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $17.73B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.68 Consensus $1.69
EPS surprise -0.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.81B Consensus $2.74B
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
FISSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, FIS’s strategy now places greater emphasis on Agentic Commerce, Total Issuing Solutions, and a longer-term free-cash-flow objective. Management continued to highlight AI, bank consolidation, payments, and recurring revenue, while the analysis identified integration, TSA, and AI-disruption risks.

Guidance delta

Management’s guidance sentiment was raised, with the 2026 outlook calling for strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and free cash flow above $2 billion; the company also set a longer-term free-cash-flow target above $3 billion by 2028.

Key takeaways

  • Management framed AI, payments, digital banking, lending, and recurring revenue as the main growth engines.
  • Total Issuing Solutions expands FIS’s issuer platform and data position, but integration execution remains important.
  • The outlook combines expected growth and margin expansion with a longer-term focus on higher free-cash-flow generation.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Agentic Commerce and expand AI fraud capabilities.
  • Scale Money Movement Hub and SmartBasket.
  • Integrate Total Issuing Solutions and cross-sell it with core banking products.
  • Continue strategic M&A tied to bank consolidation opportunities.
  • Shift capital-markets revenue toward recurring models and pursue the 2028 cash-flow target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FIS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2057.1%
Neutral1440.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.62Current
$42Low
$88.49Average
$160High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 25, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeAug 25, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Robert W. BairdDavid Koning$45$35.01 +33.8%Sep 25, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$42$38.52 +24.9%Sep 10, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$54$41.4 +60.6%Aug 25, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$46$41.4 +36.8%Aug 25, 2026
National BankRamsey El-Assal$50$42.48 +48.7%Aug 10, 2026
See 79 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. provides solutions to financial institutions, businesses, and developers worldwide. The company operates through Banking Solutions, Capital Market Solutions, and Corporate and Other segments. It provides core processing and ancillary applications; mobile and online banking; fraud, risk management, and compliance; card and retail payment; electronic funds transfer and network; wealth and retirement; and item processing and output solutions. The company also offers trading and assets, lending, leveraged and syndicated loan markets, and treasury and risk solutions. Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Historical context

All FIS earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T13:41:02.247736+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T13:41:02.245064+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.