Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1575.0%
Neutral525.0%
Bearish00.0%
Fair Isaac Corporation · FICO · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025
FICO maintains FY2025 outlook as mortgage and platform growth continue
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: FICO's mortgage-driven Scores growth, platform expansion, and strong cash generation support continued growth, while slower ARR growth, foreign-exchange effects, mortgage sensitivity, and regulatory uncertainty are meaningful offsets.
Reported Before market openNYSETechnology
$16.66B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $6.21
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $453.4M
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-1.0%
Event window
SPY move
+0.7%
Same window
Abnormal move
-1.7%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.1×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+3.5%
Up to 20 sessions
FICOSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about FICO FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove FICO's -1.0% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in FICO's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for FICO after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The quarter added evidence of continued mortgage-led Scores momentum, 20% platform ARR growth, stronger free-cash-flow generation, and progress on alternative-data and product initiatives. Against that, platform growth was described as slower at about 20%, and foreign-exchange effects remained a software headwind.
Guidance delta
FY2025 guidance was reiterated, with management maintaining its outlook despite a fluid macro backdrop.
Key takeaways
- Mortgage origination volumes and higher Scores performance remained the main growth drivers.
- Software ARR grew 6% and platform ARR grew 20%, although platform growth slowed to about 20% this quarter.
- Free cash flow rose 55%, supporting continued share repurchases.
- The product pipeline includes BNPL data integration, broader Score 10 T rollout, and the Score Mortgage Simulator.
Management priorities
- Expand Score 10 T adoption across GSE and non-GSE mortgages.
- Launch the Score Mortgage Simulator and continue platform expansion through partner channels.
- Integrate alternative data, including BNPL data, into credit-scoring models.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$781.07Current
$700Low
$1,361.35Average
$2,515High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 28, 2023 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Mar 26, 2020 |
| Dougherty | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2016 |
| Sidoti & Co. | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2016 |
| William Blair | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 26, 2016 |
| Feltl & Co. | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 2, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $781.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $1,045 | $763.25 | +33.8% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $1,230 | $728.4 | +57.5% | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $1,070 | $661.75 | +37.0% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,129 | $661.75 | +44.5% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $875 | $661.75 | +12.0% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $1,150 | $646.74 | +47.2% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $1,150 | $617.87 | +47.2% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $950 | $617.87 | +21.6% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $617.87 | -10.4% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $935 | $617.87 | +19.7% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Sean Kennedy | $1,344 | $617.87 | +72.1% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,322 | $840.89 | +69.3% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $1,350 | $924.52 | +72.8% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Kevin McVeigh | $1,139 | $1,038.23 | +45.8% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $1,700 | $1,041.4 | +117.7% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $1,675 | $1,122.97 | +114.4% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $1,525 | $1,149.47 | +95.2% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,450 | $1,373.08 | +85.6% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,270 | $1,240.17 | +62.6% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,250 | $1,181.62 | +60.0% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Surinder Thind | $1,700 | $1,035.5 | +117.7% | May 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $1,043.57 | +79.2% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $1,650 | $1,045.08 | +111.2% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $1,750 | $1,040.98 | +124.1% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $1,549 | $1,010.16 | +98.3% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,150 | $944.99 | +47.2% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Sean Kennedy | $1,416 | $1,030.81 | +81.3% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $1,950 | $932.42 | +149.7% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,165.23 | +72.8% | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | George Tong | $1,777 | $1,463.17 | +127.5% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $2,200 | $1,580.02 | +181.7% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,400 | $1,649.99 | +207.3% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $2,250 | $1,674.28 | +188.1% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $2,400 | $1,512.71 | +207.3% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $1,800 | $1,494.3 | +130.5% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $2,300 | $1,496.53 | +194.5% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $1,600 | $1,496.53 | +104.8% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Kevin McVeigh | $1,640 | $1,544.05 | +110.0% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $1,800 | $1,350 | +130.5% | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $1,950 | $1,505.39 | +149.7% | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $2,000 | $1,591.73 | +156.1% | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Surinder Thind | $2,500 | $2,130 | +220.1% | May 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $2,250 | $1,673.98 | +188.1% | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Owen Lau | $2,515 | $2,343.44 | +222.0% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $2,500 | $2,019.56 | +220.1% | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,200 | $1,943.52 | +181.7% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,100 | $1,720 | +168.9% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $1,800 | $1,654.99 | +130.5% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Robert Moskow | $1,450 | $1,150.66 | +85.6% | Apr 23, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Patrick O'Shaughnessy | $1,007 | $916.41 | +28.9% | Sep 6, 2023 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $900 | $770.98 | +15.2% | Jun 8, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $614 | $581.78 | -21.4% | Nov 10, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Robert Moskow | $588 | $497.23 | -24.7% | Mar 5, 2022 |
Track every rating change on FICO the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationFair Isaac Corporation, also known as FICO, delivers advanced analytics, software solutions, and data management services designed to help businesses optimize, automate, and interconnect their crucial decision-making processes. These offerings reach clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through two main divisions: Software and Scores. The Software segment provides pre-configured decision management solutions catering to a variety of business challenges and operations, including marketing strategy, account creation, customer relations, engagement, fraud detection, financial crime compliance, and debt collection, alongside related professional services.…
Historical context
All FICO earningsTechnology peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIT Wipro Limited | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -25.0% | +3.9% | Wipro: AI pipeline expands as Q3 guidance stays narrow |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.4% | -1.8% | TSMC beats Q3 guidance as AI demand drives fab expansion |
| ERIC Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +28.6% | +11.8% | Ericsson Q3: 7% organic growth, resilient margins and AI-led demand |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
Missed on EPS
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One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T15:49:41.971570+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T22:40:43.419904+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T22:40:43.416964+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.