F5, Inc. · FFIV · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

F5 Raises FY2026 Outlook as AI and Systems Demand Accelerate

The current analysis supports the view that resilient demand and accelerating AI-related activity can underpin F5's growth over the next year, but the thesis depends on sustaining systems momentum, converting AI use cases, and managing component costs.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $25.73B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.73 Consensus $4.00
EPS surprise +18.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $865.1M Consensus $834.6M
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.1% Up to 20 sessions
FFIVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management reported stronger product and systems growth, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to 9%-10%, and highlighted a doubling in AI security customers quarter over quarter. The focus also broadened toward AI factory load balancing, token efficiency, and monthly hardened software releases.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 revenue-growth guidance to 9%-10%, from 7%-8% in the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Product revenue growth reached 19% year over year, with systems revenue up 32%.
  • Management cited hybrid multicloud, application threats, AI inference, and digital sovereignty as growth drivers.
  • AI security customers doubled quarter over quarter, while new monthly hardened software releases support faster remediation.
  • The company repurchased $100 million of stock in the quarter and reiterated a commitment to use at least 50% of free cash flow for buybacks.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-powered WAF, AI security, and AI factory load-balancing offerings.
  • Scale monthly hardened software releases and F5 Insight fleet management.
  • Drive adoption of token-efficiency and AI data-delivery solutions.
  • Continue share repurchases using free cash flow.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FFIV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $685M Q1 '24 actual $693M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $685M Q2 '24 actual $681M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $686M Q3 '24 actual $695M, beat Q4 '24 estimate $730M Q4 '24 actual $747M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $754M Q3 '25 actual $780M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $795M Q4 '25 actual $810M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $764M Q1 '26 actual $822M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $784M Q2 '26 actual $812M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $835M Q3 '26 actual $865M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $884M Q1 '27 estimate $873M Q2 '27 estimate $876M Q3 '27 estimate $918M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2541.7%
Neutral3253.3%
Bearish35.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$455.99Current
$175Low
$283.43Average
$475High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 28, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 28, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 9, 2026
Show 56 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $455.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerJames Fish$461$402.12 +1.1%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$397$407.96 -12.9%Jul 28, 2026
BOCOM International Holdings CompanyAnalyst unavailable$300$407.96 -34.2%Jul 28, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$450$396.19 -1.3%Jun 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$475$362.58 +4.2%May 18, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

F5, Inc. is a technology company specializing in comprehensive solutions designed to secure and optimize the delivery of applications across various cloud environments. Their core mission is to guarantee the security, peak performance, and constant availability of critical network applications, servers, and storage systems for their clients. Through their multi-cloud offerings, F5 empowers organizations to seamlessly develop, deploy, operate, secure, and govern their applications, whether these reside in traditional on-premises infrastructures or modern public cloud platforms. The company's extensive product portfolio includes a range of application security and delivery tools: Robust hardware like BIG-IP appliances and VIPRION chassis, complemented by their software modules and virtual editions. Software-defined solutions such as Local Traffic Manager and DNS Services for efficient traffic handling. Advanced network protection with Advanced Firewall Manager and Policy Enforcement Manager.…

Historical context

All FFIV earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T15:05:54.095967+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-01T01:23:15.986970+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T02:40:55.826269+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T02:40:55.823455+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.