First Citizens BancShares, Inc. · FCNCA · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

First Citizens pairs solid profitability with a large loan pipeline

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view: solid profitability, stable NIM, a sizable loan pipeline, and continued capital returns provide evidence of operating resilience, while modest loan growth and macro, pricing, credit, and regulatory risks limit confidence in the forward trajectory.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $26.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $44.78 Consensus $39.71
EPS surprise +12.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.37B Consensus $2.18B
Revenue surprise +8.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
FCNCASPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis highlighted continued profitability and a new $4 billion repurchase plan, while adding emphasis on the $9.5 billion Global Fund Banking pipeline, railcar strength, technology and Category 3 investments, and competitive deposit pricing.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management remained confident on capital and growth initiatives while acknowledging macro uncertainty, competitive pricing, and regulatory considerations.

Key takeaways

  • Management described solid profitability, with adjusted EPS of $44.78 and ROE of 11%.
  • Net interest income grew sequentially as the average earning-asset base expanded while NIM remained stable.
  • Loan growth was modest, but management highlighted a $9.5 billion Global Fund Banking pipeline.
  • Capital returns and investment plans continued alongside a cautious view of macro and regulatory risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the planned $4 billion share repurchase after completing the current program
  • Expand the Direct Bank to grow low-cost core deposits
  • Invest in technology, risk management, and Category 3 readiness
  • Maintain disciplined capital management within the CET1 target range

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FCNCA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold11 ratings
Bullish218.2%
Neutral981.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$2,375.84Current
$1,650Low
$2,268.33Average
$2,600High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Show 6 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $2,375.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$2,550$2,375.95 +7.3%Oct 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$2,323$2,182 -2.2%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$2,376$2,160.65 +0.0%Jul 27, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$2,300$2,204.03 -3.2%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsRyan Nash$2,340$2,117.35 -1.5%Jul 7, 2026
See 23 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) functions as the parent company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company, offering a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. Its deposit offerings encompass various account types, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit (time deposit accounts). The company's loan portfolio is extensive, featuring commercial credits for construction and land development, commercial mortgages, commercial and industrial (C&I) financing, and lease financing. It also provided Small Business Administration (SBA) Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans. For consumers, loan options span residential and revolving mortgages, construction and land development loans, auto financing, and various other personal lending products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T13:20:41.246059+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T13:20:41.243323+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.